IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/r/bes/jnlasa/v105i489y2010p25-35.html
   My bibliography  Save this item

Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as


Cited by:

  1. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013. "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
  2. Zhang, Yao & Wang, Jianxue & Wang, Xifan, 2014. "Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 255-270.
  3. Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015. "Optimal combination of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
  4. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper 2010/29, Norges Bank.
  5. Adedipe, Tosin & Shafiee, Mahmood & Zio, Enrico, 2020. "Bayesian Network Modelling for the Wind Energy Industry: An Overview," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  6. Martin, Gael M. & Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Maheu, John & Nibbering, Didier & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2024. "Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 811-839.
  7. Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  8. Jeon, Jooyoung & Panagiotelis, Anastasios & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2019. "Probabilistic forecast reconciliation with applications to wind power and electric load," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(2), pages 364-379.
  9. Mehdi Jamei & Mumtaz Ali & Anurag Malik & Ramendra Prasad & Shahab Abdulla & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2022. "Forecasting Daily Flood Water Level Using Hybrid Advanced Machine Learning Based Time-Varying Filtered Empirical Mode Decomposition Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4637-4676, September.
  10. Lei Zhang & Lun Xie & Qinkai Han & Zhiliang Wang & Chen Huang, 2020. "Probability Density Forecasting of Wind Speed Based on Quantile Regression and Kernel Density Estimation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-24, November.
  11. Smith, Michael Stanley & Shively, Thomas S., 2018. "Econometric modeling of regional electricity spot prices in the Australian market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 886-903.
  12. Baran, Sándor, 2014. "Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using Bayesian model averaging with truncated normal components," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 227-238.
  13. Montgomery, Jacob M. & Hollenbach, Florian M. & Ward, Michael D., 2015. "Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 930-942.
  14. Jamei, Mehdi & Sharma, Prabhakar & Ali, Mumtaz & Bora, Bhaskor J. & Malik, Anurag & Paramasivam, Prabhu & Farooque, Aitazaz A. & Abdulla, Shahab, 2024. "Application of an explainable glass-box machine learning approach for prognostic analysis of a biogas-powered small agriculture engine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
  15. Sándor Baran & Patrícia Szokol & Marianna Szabó, 2021. "Truncated generalized extreme value distribution‐based ensemble model output statistics model for calibration of wind speed ensemble forecasts," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), September.
  16. Chen, Shu-Hua & Yang, Shu-Chih & Chen, Chih-Ying & van Dam, C.P. & Cooperman, Aubryn & Shiu, Henry & MacDonald, Clinton & Zack, John, 2019. "Application of bias corrections to improve hub-height ensemble wind forecasts over the Tehachapi Wind Resource Area," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 281-291.
  17. Elio Chiodo & Bassel Diban & Giovanni Mazzanti & Fabio De Angelis, 2023. "A Review on Wind Speed Extreme Values Modeling and Bayes Estimation for Wind Power Plant Design and Construction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-20, July.
  18. Karbasi, Masoud & Jamei, Mehdi & Ali, Mumtaz & Malik, Anurag & Chu, Xuefeng & Farooque, Aitazaz Ahsan & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2023. "Development of an enhanced bidirectional recurrent neural network combined with time-varying filter-based empirical mode decomposition to forecast weekly reference evapotranspiration," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  19. Thorey, J. & Chaussin, C. & Mallet, V., 2018. "Ensemble forecast of photovoltaic power with online CRPS learning," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 762-773.
  20. AL-Musaylh, Mohanad S. & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Li, Yan & Adamowski, Jan F., 2018. "Two-phase particle swarm optimized-support vector regression hybrid model integrated with improved empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise for multiple-horizon electricity demand forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 422-439.
  21. Ngoc-Lan Huynh, Anh & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Ali, Mumtaz & Abdulla, Shahab & Raj, Nawin, 2021. "Novel short-term solar radiation hybrid model: Long short-term memory network integrated with robust local mean decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  22. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-172/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  23. Taylor, James W. & Jeon, Jooyoung, 2015. "Forecasting wind power quantiles using conditional kernel estimation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 370-379.
  24. AL-Musaylh, Mohanad S. & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Adamowski, Jan F. & Li, Yan, 2019. "Short-term electricity demand forecasting using machine learning methods enriched with ground-based climate and ECMWF Reanalysis atmospheric predictors in southeast Queensland, Australia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
  25. Hancock, Thomas O. & Hess, Stephane & Daly, Andrew & Fox, James, 2020. "Using a sequential latent class approach for model averaging: Benefits in forecasting and behavioural insights," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 429-454.
  26. Ali, Mumtaz & Prasad, Ramendra & Xiang, Yong & Jamei, Mehdi & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2023. "Ensemble robust local mean decomposition integrated with random forest for short-term significant wave height forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 731-746.
  27. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Zhen-Hai & Su, Zhong-Yue & Zhao, Zhi-Yuan & Xiao, Xia & Liu, Feng, 2016. "An improved multi-step forecasting model based on WRF ensembles and creative fuzzy systems for wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 808-826.
  28. Raza, Muhammad Qamar & Nadarajah, Mithulananthan & Ekanayake, Chandima, 2017. "Demand forecast of PV integrated bioclimatic buildings using ensemble framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1626-1638.
  29. Wu, Jie & Li, Na & Zhao, Yan & Wang, Jujie, 2022. "Usage of correlation analysis and hypothesis test in optimizing the gated recurrent unit network for wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  30. Knut Are Aastveit & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2018. "The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  31. Bettina Grün & Paul Hofmarcher, 2021. "Identifying groups of determinants in Bayesian model averaging using Dirichlet process clustering," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(3), pages 1018-1045, September.
  32. Ramin, Maryam & Labencki, Tanya & Boyd, Duncan & Trolle, Dennis & Arhonditsis, George B., 2012. "A Bayesian synthesis of predictions from different models for setting water quality criteria," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 127-145.
  33. Jooyoung Jeon & James W. Taylor, 2012. "Using Conditional Kernel Density Estimation for Wind Power Density Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 66-79, March.
  34. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2012. "Applications of Bayesian methods in wind energy conversion systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-8.
  35. Wang, Xiaoqian & Hyndman, Rob J. & Li, Feng & Kang, Yanfei, 2023. "Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1518-1547.
  36. Farah, Shahid & David A, Wood & Humaira, Nisar & Aneela, Zameer & Steffen, Eger, 2022. "Short-term multi-hour ahead country-wide wind power prediction for Germany using gated recurrent unit deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  37. Cao, Yankai & Zavala, Victor M. & D’Amato, Fernando, 2018. "Using stochastic programming and statistical extrapolation to mitigate long-term extreme loads in wind turbines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 1230-1241.
  38. Zheng, Zihao & Ali, Mumtaz & Jamei, Mehdi & Xiang, Yong & Abdulla, Shahab & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher & Farooque, Aitazaz A., 2023. "Multivariate data decomposition based deep learning approach to forecast one-day ahead significant wave height for ocean energy generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
  39. Stover, Oliver & Nath, Paromita & Karve, Pranav & Mahadevan, Sankaran & Baroud, Hiba, 2024. "Dependence structure learning and joint probabilistic forecasting of stochastic power grid variables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
  40. Sebastian Lerch & Sándor Baran, 2017. "Similarity-based semilocal estimation of post-processing models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(1), pages 29-51, January.
  41. Yu, Jie & Chen, Kuilin & Mori, Junichi & Rashid, Mudassir M., 2013. "A Gaussian mixture copula model based localized Gaussian process regression approach for long-term wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 673-686.
  42. Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Density Forecasting," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS59, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.