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Ensemble robust local mean decomposition integrated with random forest for short-term significant wave height forecasting

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  • Ali, Mumtaz
  • Prasad, Ramendra
  • Xiang, Yong
  • Jamei, Mehdi
  • Yaseen, Zaher Mundher

Abstract

A robust short-term significant wave height (Hs) modelling framework based on an ensemble local mean decomposition method integrated with random forest (i.e., En-RLMD-RF) is developed. The robust local mean decomposition (RLMD) decomposed the Hs data series into three subseries; amplitude modulation, frequency modulation and the low-frequency product function (PFs). The partial autocorrelation function was employed to determine the correlation-based significant predictor signals between the PFs at t0 and t1. Then the statistically significant PFs were incorporated into the random forest (RF) to construct the RLMD-RF model. The RLMD-RF based forecasted PFs were used again in the RF model as input predictors resulting in an ensemble-based RLMD-RF (i.e., En-RLMD-RF) model for forecasting short-term Hs. The En-RLMD-RF model is validated and compared with RF, extreme learning machine (ELM) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models and their hybrids RLMD-RF, RLMD-ELM, RLMD-MLR, En-RLMD-ELM and En-RLMD-MLR counterparts using a set of performance metrics. The results demonstrated that the En-RLMD-RF model generates better forecasting accuracy against the benchmarking models. This study is beneficial for the application and optimization of more clean energy resources worldwide for sustained energy generation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali, Mumtaz & Prasad, Ramendra & Xiang, Yong & Jamei, Mehdi & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2023. "Ensemble robust local mean decomposition integrated with random forest for short-term significant wave height forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 731-746.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:205:y:2023:i:c:p:731-746
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2023.01.108
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    References listed on IDEAS

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