IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/irtgdp/2020028.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Tail Risk Network Effects in the Cryptocurrency Market during the COVID-19 Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Ren, Rui
  • Althof, Michael
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies are gaining momentum in investor attention, are about to become a new asset class, and may provide a hedging alternative against the risk of devaluation of fiat currencies following the COVID-19 crisis. In order to provide a thorough understanding of this new asset class, risk indicators need to consider tail risk behaviour and the interdependencies between the cryptocurrencies not only for risk management but also for portfolio optimization. The tail risk network analysis framework proposed in the paper is able to identify individual risk characteristics and capture spillover effect in a network topology. Finally we construct tail event sensitive portfolios and consequently test the performance during an unforeseen COVID-19 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Ren, Rui & Althof, Michael & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2020. "Tail Risk Network Effects in the Cryptocurrency Market during the COVID-19 Crisis," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-028, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2020028
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/230834/1/irtg1792dp2020-028.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining & Yu, Lining, 2016. "TENET: Tail-Event driven NETwork risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 499-513.
    2. John M. Griffin & Amin Shams, 2020. "Is Bitcoin Really Untethered?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 1913-1964, August.
    3. Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "CRIX an Index for cryptocurrencies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 107-122.
    4. Yuan, Ming, 2006. "GACV for quantile smoothing splines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 813-829, February.
    5. Christian Catalini & Joshua S. Gans, 2016. "Some Simple Economics of the Blockchain," NBER Working Papers 22952, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Cameron A. MacKenzie, 2014. "Summarizing Risk Using Risk Measures and Risk Indices," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(12), pages 2143-2162, December.
    7. Alla Petukhina & Simon Trimborn & Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Hermann Elendner, 2021. "Investing with cryptocurrencies – evaluating their potential for portfolio allocation strategies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(11), pages 1825-1853, November.
    8. Korotkov, Vladimir & Wu, Desheng, 2020. "Evaluating the quality of solutions in project portfolio selection," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Konstantin Häusler & Hongyu Xia, 2022. "Indices on cryptocurrencies: an evaluation," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 149-167, September.
    2. Wang, Ruting & Althof, Michael & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2023. "A financial risk meter for China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Wang, Ruting & Althof, Michael & Härdle, Wolfgang, 2021. "A financial risk meter for China," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-022, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    4. Theodore Pelagidis & Eleftheria Kostika, 2022. "Investigating the role of central banks in the interconnection between financial markets and cryptoassets," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 49(3), pages 481-507, September.
    5. Ren, Rui & Lu, Meng-Jou & Li, Yingxing & Härdle, Wolfgang, 2021. "Financial Risk Meter based on expectiles," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-008, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    6. Ren, Rui & Lu, Meng-Jou & Li, Yingxing & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2022. "Financial Risk Meter FRM based on Expectiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alla A. Petukhina & Raphael C. G. Reule & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2021. "Rise of the machines? Intraday high-frequency trading patterns of cryptocurrencies," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-2), pages 8-30, January.
    2. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-047 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Anil Donmez & Alexander Karaivanov, 2022. "Transaction fee economics in the Ethereum blockchain," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(1), pages 265-292, January.
    4. Wang, Qiyu & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2021. "Factor pricing of cryptocurrencies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Şoiman, Florentina & Dumas, Jean-Guillaume & Jimenez-Garces, Sonia, 2023. "What drives DeFi market returns?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    6. Ren, Rui & Lu, Meng-Jou & Li, Yingxing & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2022. "Financial Risk Meter FRM based on Expectiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    7. Yu, Lining & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Borke, Lukas & Benschop, Thijs, 2017. "FRM: A financial risk meter based on penalizing tail events occurrence," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-003, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    8. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    9. Zhang, Wei & Li, Yi & Xiong, Xiong & Wang, Pengfei, 2021. "Downside risk and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Rebekka Buse & Konstantin Gorgen & Melanie Schienle, 2022. "Predicting Value at Risk for Cryptocurrencies With Generalized Random Forests," Papers 2203.08224, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    11. Lining Yu & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Lukas Borke & Thijs Benschop, 2020. "An AI approach to measuring financial risk," Papers 2009.13222, arXiv.org.
    12. Rudkin, Simon & Rudkin, Wanling & Dłotko, Paweł, 2023. "On the topology of cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    13. Martin Waltz & Abhay Kumar Singh & Ostap Okhrin, 2022. "Vulnerability-CoVaR: investigating the crypto-market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(9), pages 1731-1745, September.
    14. Zbonakova, L. & Härdle, W.K. & Wang, W., 2016. "Time Varying Quantile Lasso," Working Papers 16/07, Department of Economics, City University London.
    15. Ben Amor, Souhir & Althof, Michael & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2022. "Financial Risk Meter for emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    16. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Paolo Giudici & Fatemeh Mojtahedi, 2022. "Crypto Asset Portfolio Selection," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-9, February.
    17. Florentina c{S}oiman & Guillaume Dumas & Sonia Jimenez-Garces, 2022. "The return of (I)DeFiX," Papers 2204.00251, arXiv.org.
    18. Daniel Traian PELE & Alexandra Ioana CONDA & Raul Cristian BAG & Miruna MAZURENCU-MARINESCU-PELE & Vasile Alecsandru STRAT, 2023. "Financial Risk Meter for The Romanian Stock Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-24, March.
    19. Zdravka Aljinović & Branka Marasović & Tea Šestanović, 2021. "Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(14), pages 1-21, July.
    20. Patel, Ritesh & Migliavacca, Milena & Oriani, Marco E., 2022. "Blockchain in banking and finance: A bibliometric review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    21. Mihoci, Andrija & Althof, Michael & Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "FRM Financial Risk Meter," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-021, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cryptocurrencies; Network Dynamics; Portfolio Optimization; Quantile Regression; Systemic Risk; Financial Risk Meter;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2020028. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/wfhubde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.