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Inter-pattern speculation: beyond minority, majority and $-games

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  • Damien Challet

    (Oxford University)

Abstract

A new model of financial market is proposed, based on the sequential and inter-temporal nature of trader-trader interaction. In this pattern- based speculation model, the traders open and close their positions explicitely. Information ecology can be precisely characterised, and is strikingly similar to that of the Minority Game. Naive and sophisticated agents are shown to give rise to very different phenomenology.

Suggested Citation

  • Damien Challet, 2005. "Inter-pattern speculation: beyond minority, majority and $-games," Finance 0503006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0503006
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 6
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Takero Ibuki & Jun-ichi Inoue, 2011. "Response of double-auction markets to instantaneous Selling–Buying signals with stochastic Bid–Ask spread," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 6(2), pages 93-120, November.
    2. Anindya S. Chakrabarti & Diptesh Ghosh, 2019. "Emergence of anti-coordination through reinforcement learning in generalized minority games," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(2), pages 225-245, June.
    3. Karol Wawrzyniak & Wojciech Wislicki, 2011. "Mesoscopic approach to minority games in herd regime," Papers 1112.0210, arXiv.org.
    4. Kei Katahira & Yu Chen & Gaku Hashimoto & Hiroshi Okuda, 2019. "Development of an agent-based speculation game for higher reproducibility of financial stylized facts," Papers 1902.02040, arXiv.org.
    5. Katahira, Kei & Chen, Yu & Hashimoto, Gaku & Okuda, Hiroshi, 2019. "Development of an agent-based speculation game for higher reproducibility of financial stylized facts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 503-518.
    6. Ren, F. & Zhang, Y.C., 2008. "Trading model with pair pattern strategies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(22), pages 5523-5534.
    7. Luca Grilli & Angelo Sfrecola, 2005. "Neural Networks to Predict Financial Time Series in a Minority Game Context," Quaderni DSEMS 14-2005, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Matematiche e Statistiche, Universita' di Foggia.
    8. Shubham Agarwal & Diptesh Ghosh & Anindya S. Chakrabarti, 2016. "Self-organization in a distributed coordination game through heuristic rules," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 89(12), pages 1-10, December.
    9. Kei Katahira & Yu Chen, 2019. "Heterogeneous wealth distribution, round-trip trading and the emergence of volatility clustering in Speculation Game," Papers 1909.03185, arXiv.org.
    10. Li-Xin Zhong & Wen-Juan Xu & Ping Huang & Chen-Yang Zhong & Tian Qiu, 2013. "Self-organization and phase transition in financial markets with multiple choices," Papers 1312.0690, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2014.
    11. Li-Xin Zhong & Wen-Juan Xu & Fei Ren & Yong-Dong Shi, 2012. "Coupled effects of market impact and asymmetric sensitivity in financial markets," Papers 1209.3399, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2013.
    12. Zhong, Li-Xin & Xu, Wen-Juan & Ren, Fei & Shi, Yong-Dong, 2013. "Coupled effects of market impact and asymmetric sensitivity in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2139-2149.
    13. B. A. Mello & V. M.C.S. Souza & D. O. Cajueiro & R. F.S. Andrade, 2010. "Network evolution based on minority game with herding behavior," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 76(1), pages 147-156, July.
    14. Bryce Morsky & Fuwei Zhuang & Zuojun Zhou, 2023. "Social and individual learning in the Minority Game," Papers 2307.11846, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    15. Ted Theodosopoulos & Ming Yuen, 2006. "Imbalance attractors for a strategic model of market microstructure," Papers math/0605421, arXiv.org.

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