IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wiw/wiwrsa/ersa05p770.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Inter-regional migration modelling - a review and assessment

Author

Listed:
  • John Stillwell

Abstract

Population migration involves the relocation of individuals, households or moving groups between geographical locations. Aggregate spatial patterns of movement reflect complex combinations of motivation that influence migration behaviour and determine destination choice. Consequently there is a huge literature on modelling different types of migration at various spatial scales. This paper, which originates from a study for EUROSTAT to find a generally applicable migration model, endeavours to review the state of the art by exploiting the distinction between explanatory and projection models. Whilst the review inevitably lacks comprehensiveness, it demonstrates the difference between mathematical and statistical approaches, highlights a recent two-stage model developed for use in a policy context in the UK, and contrasts these methods with models developed in the context of multi-state demography and used for migration projection in the European Union.

Suggested Citation

  • John Stillwell, 2005. "Inter-regional migration modelling - a review and assessment," ERSA conference papers ersa05p770, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa05p770
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www-sre.wu.ac.at/ersa/ersaconfs/ersa05/papers/770.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A S Fotheringham, 1986. "Modelling Hierarchical Destination Choice," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 18(3), pages 401-418, March.
    2. Everett Lee, 1966. "A theory of migration," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 3(1), pages 47-57, March.
    3. J C H Stillwell, 1994. "Monitoring intercensal migration in the United Kingdom," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 26(11), pages 1711-1730, November.
    4. repec:cai:popine:popu_p1986_41n3_0609 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. A Stewart Fotheringham & Tomoki Nakaya & Keiji Yano & Stan Openshaw & Yoshitaka Ishikawa, 2001. "Hierarchical Destination Choice and Spatial Interaction Modelling: A Simulation Experiment," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 33(5), pages 901-920, May.
    6. A Rogers & R Raquillet & L J Castro, 1978. "Model Migration Schedules and Their Applications," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 10(5), pages 475-502, May.
    7. Alok K. Bohara & Randall G. Krieg, 1996. "A Zero-inflated Poisson Model of Migration Frequency," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 19(3), pages 211-222, July.
    8. Liaw, Kao-Lee & Ledent, Jacques, 1987. "Nested logit model and maximum quasi-likelihood method : A flexible methodology for analyzing interregional migration patterns," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 67-88, February.
    9. C G Amrhein & R Flowerdew, 1992. "The Effect of Data Aggregation on a Poisson Regression Model of Canadian Migration," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 24(10), pages 1381-1391, October.
    10. Gordon Hughes & Barry McCormick, 1991. "Housing Markets, Unemployment and Labour Market Flexibility in the U.K," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 83-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Hughes, G A & McCormick, B, 1985. "Migration Intentions in the U.K.: Which Households Want to Migrate and Which Succeed?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 95(380a), pages 113-123, Supplemen.
    12. G Feeney, 1973. "Two Models for Multiregional Population Dynamics," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 5(1), pages 31-43, February.
    13. Andrei Rogers, 1967. "Matrix Analysis Of Interregional Population Growth And Distribution," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 177-196, January.
    14. David Plane & Peter Rogerson, 1986. "Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: an application to structural change in the U.S. migration system," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 23(1), pages 91-104, February.
    15. Hughes, Gordon & McCormick, Barry, 1981. "Do Council Housing Policies Reduce Migration between Regions?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 91(364), pages 919-937, December.
    16. Larry A. Sjaastad, 1960. "The Relationship Between Migration And Income In The United States," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(1), pages 37-64, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fabbri, D & Robone, S, 2008. "The geography of hospital admission in a National Health Service with patient choice: evidence from Italy," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 08/29, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
    2. Björn Alecke & Timo Mitze & Gerhard Untiedt, 2010. "Internal migration, regional labour market dynamics and implications for German East-West disparities: results from a Panel VAR," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 30(2), pages 159-189, September.
    3. repec:zbw:rwirep:0096 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Patrice Dion, 2017. "An Alternative to Fixed Transition Probabilities for the Projection of Interprovincial Migration in Canada," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 36(6), pages 871-901, December.
    5. Moura, Ticiana Grecco Zanon & Garcia-Alonso, Lorena & Salas-Olmedo, María Henar, 2017. "Delimiting the scope of the hinterland of ports: Proposal and case study," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 35-43.
    6. Cameron, Gavin & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2006. "Housing Market Dynamics and Regional Migration in Britain," CEPR Discussion Papers 5832, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Björn Alecke & Timo Mitze & Gerhard Untiedt, 2009. "Internal Migration, Regional Labour Market Dynamics and Implications for German East-West Disparities – Results from a Panel VAR," Ruhr Economic Papers 0096, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stephen Drinkwater, 2003. "Estimating the willingness to move within Great Britain: Importance and implications," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1203, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    2. Oswald Andrew J., 1996. "A Conjecture on the Explanation for High Unemployment in the Industrialized Nations : Part I," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 475, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    3. P Boyle, 1998. "Migration and Housing Tenure in South East England," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 30(5), pages 855-866, May.
    4. Geoffrey Meen, 1996. "Ten Propositions in UK Housing Macroeconomics: An Overview of the 1980s and Early 1990s," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 33(3), pages 425-444, April.
    5. Paul Flatau & Matt Forbes & Patric H. Hendershott, 2003. "Homeownership and Unemployment: The Roles of Leverage and Public Housing," NBER Working Papers 10021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Gary Engelhardt, 2001. "Nominal Loss Aversion, Housing Equity Constraints, and Household Mobility: Evidence from the United States," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 42, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    7. Geoffrey Meen, 2016. "Spatial housing economics: A survey," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(10), pages 1987-2003, August.
    8. Kevin Doogan, 1996. "Labour Mobility and the Changing Housing Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 33(2), pages 199-221, March.
    9. Jim Millington, 2000. "Migration and Age: The Effect of Age on Sensitivity to Migration Stimuli," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6), pages 521-533.
    10. Blackaby, David H. & Drinkwater, Stephen, 2004. "Migration and Labour Market Differences: The Case of Wales," IZA Discussion Papers 1275, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    11. Gitlesen, Jens Petter & Kleppe, Gisle & Thorsen, Inge & Ubøe, Jan, 2006. "An empirically based implementation and evaluation of a network model for commuting flows," Discussion Papers 2006/4, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    12. Stijn Baert & Freddy Heylen & Daan Isebaert, 2014. "Does Homeownership Lead to Longer Unemployment Spells? The Role of Mortgage Payments," De Economist, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 263-286, September.
    13. Koji Murayama & Jun Nagayasu & Lamia Bazzaoui, 2022. "Spatial Dependence, Social Networks, and Economic Structures in Japanese Regional Labor Migration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-31, February.
    14. Paul Boyle & Robin Flowerdew & Jianfa Shen, 1998. "Modelling Inter-ward Migration in Hereford and Worcester: The Importance of Housing Growth and Tenure," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 113-132.
    15. Dohmen, Thomas J., 2005. "Housing, mobility and unemployment," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 305-325, May.
    16. Richard Eastall & Mark Kleinman, 1989. "A Behavioural Model of the Supply of Re-Lets of Council Housing in England," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 26(6), pages 535-548, December.
    17. Amior, Michael & Manning, Alan, 2019. "Commuting, migration and local joblessness," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102745, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Harminder Battu & Ada Ma & Euan Phimister, 2008. "Housing Tenure, Job Mobility and Unemployment in the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(527), pages 311-328, March.
    19. Cameron, Gavin & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2006. "Housing Market Dynamics and Regional Migration in Britain," CEPR Discussion Papers 5832, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Katherine Curtis & Elizabeth Fussell & Jack DeWaard, 2015. "Recovery Migration After Hurricanes Katrina and Rita: Spatial Concentration and Intensification in the Migration System," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 52(4), pages 1269-1293, August.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa05p770. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gunther Maier (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.ersa.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.