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A Zero-inflated Poisson Model of Migration Frequency

Author

Listed:
  • Alok K. Bohara

    (Department of Economics University of New Mexico Albuquerque NM 87131 USA)

  • Randall G. Krieg

    (Department of Economics University of Northern Iowa Cedar Falls IA 50614 USA)

Abstract

This paper shows that the frequency of migration can be best modeled by a zero-inflated Poisson process, because it takes into account the overwhelming presence of zeros (nonmigrants) in the data. A failure to do so can cause the coefficients to be biased and also result in poor prediction. The major finding is that by using a zero-inflated process, the performance of the model in predicting migration behavior is substantially improved. In addition, frequent movers tend to be white, nonunionized, and tend to have fewer children, less stable marriages, and more frequent occupational changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Alok K. Bohara & Randall G. Krieg, 1996. "A Zero-inflated Poisson Model of Migration Frequency," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 19(3), pages 211-222, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:19:y:1996:i:3:p:211-222
    DOI: 10.1177/016001769601900302
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wesley Bertoli & Katiane S. Conceição & Marinho G. Andrade & Francisco Louzada, 2018. "On the zero-modified Poisson–Shanker regression model and its application to fetal deaths notification data," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 807-836, June.
    2. Martijn Burger & Frank van Oort & Gert-Jan Linders, 2009. "On the Specification of the Gravity Model of Trade: Zeros, Excess Zeros and Zero-inflated Estimation," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 167-190.
    3. John Stillwell, 2005. "Inter-regional migration modelling - a review and assessment," ERSA conference papers ersa05p770, European Regional Science Association.
    4. Anna Golovko & Hasan Sahin, 2021. "Analysis of international trade integration of Eurasian countries: gravity model approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 519-548, September.

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