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How Would One Extra Year of High School Affect Wages? Evidence from a Unique Policy Change

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  • Krashinsky, Harry

Abstract

This paper uses a unique policy change in Canada’s most populous province, Ontario, to provide direct evidence on the effect of reducing the length of high school on labour market outcomes for high school graduates. In 1999, the Ontario government eliminated the fifth year of education from its high schools, and mandated a new four-year program. This policy change created two cohorts of students who graduated from high school together with different amounts of education, thus making it possible to identify the effect of one extra year of high school education on earnings. Using restricted survey data, the results demonstrate that students who receive one less year of high school education receive wages that are approximately ten percent lower than their counterparts one year after graduation, and these effects persist two years after graduation. Using birth year to instrument for educational attainment produces estimates that are even higher than the cross-sectional findings, but quite consistent with the existing literature on the return to education. These results are a significant contribution to the literature on the return to education because unlike prior changes to the educational system, this change in schooling laws results in two cohorts entering the labour market simultaneously. As such, business cycle effects do not confound the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Krashinsky, Harry, 2009. "How Would One Extra Year of High School Affect Wages? Evidence from a Unique Policy Change," CLSSRN working papers clsrn_admin-2009-29, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 22 Apr 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:ubc:clssrn:clsrn_admin-2009-29
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    File URL: http://www.clsrn.econ.ubc.ca/workingpapers/CLSRN%20Working%20Paper%20no.%2020%20-%20Krashinsky.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Meyer, Tobias & Thomsen, Stephan L., 2012. "How Important is Secondary School Duration for Post-school Education Decisions? Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-509, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    2. Stephenson Strobel, 2024. "Effects of extending residencies on the supply and quality of family medicine practitioners; difference‐in‐differences evidence from the implementation of mandatory family medicine residencies in Cana," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 393-409, March.
    3. Tobias Meyer & Stephan L. Thomsen, 2016. "How Important Is Secondary School Duration for Postsecondary Education Decisions? Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Journal of Human Capital, University of Chicago Press, vol. 10(1), pages 67-108.
    4. Faria Sana & Barbara Fenesi, 2013. "Grade 12 Versus Grade 13: Benefits of an Extra Year of High School," The Journal of Educational Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 106(5), pages 384-392, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Human Capital; Returns to Education; Years of Schooling; Ontario Double Cohort;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General

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