IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/tho/iscthi/24.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The pull factors of tourism demand: a panel data analysis for Latin American and Carribean countries

Author

Listed:
  • Smiljana Pivčević

    (Faculty of Economics, Department of National Economy, Split, University of Split, Croatia)

  • Zvonimir Kuliš

    (Lukas Sport, Split, Croatia)

  • Neven Šerić

    (Faculty of Economics, Department of National Economy, Split, University of Split, Croatia)

Abstract

Tourism demand is influenced by a number of elements, commonly divided into the pull and push factors. After the discussion on tourism demand determinants, a literature review of previous studies focusing on variables and indicators used as well as results obtained is provided. Drawing on suggestions of other researchers, a model of pull factors of tourism demand divided into three categories: economic, social and tourism competitiveness factors, is proposed. Due to their high but unexploited tourism potential, Latin American and Caribbean countries (LAC) are chosen for empirical analysis. The sample includes 31 countries representative of the population. The variables included in the model are highly determined by the availability of data collected from the World Bank, UNODC, UNESCO and UNWTO for the period 1995-2012. Panel data approach using dynamic panel models and Blundell-Bond estimator is used for the analysis. It confirmed that tourism is affected by all the observed factors proving the model valid and providing basis for policy implications. Although the research topic itself is not novel in tourism research, the paper provides several novel elements: the inclusion of social and tourism supply determinants as opposed to common focus solely on economic ones; the sample of countries analyzed; the time frame of the analysis and the usage of Blundell-Bond estimator not commonly used in this kind of research.

Suggested Citation

  • Smiljana Pivčević & Zvonimir Kuliš & Neven Šerić, 2016. "The pull factors of tourism demand: a panel data analysis for Latin American and Carribean countries," Tourism and Hospitality Industry 24, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Tourism and Hospitality Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:tho:iscthi:24
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.fthm.uniri.hr/files/Kongresi/THI/Papers/2016/THI_April2016_319to333.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Adamos Adamou & Sofronis Clerides, 2010. "Prospects and Limits of Tourism-Led Growth: The International Evidence," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 2(3), pages 287-303, September.
    2. John M. Piotrowski & Mr. Rabah Arezki & Reda Cherif, 2009. "Tourism Specialization and Economic Development: Evidence from the UNESCO World Heritage List," IMF Working Papers 2009/176, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Álvaro Matias & Peter Nijkamp & Manuela Sarmento (ed.), 2013. "Quantitative Methods in Tourism Economics," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-7908-2879-5, July.
    4. Mr. Alexander Culiuc, 2014. "Determinants of International Tourism," IMF Working Papers 2014/082, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    6. Glauber Eduardo Oliveira Santos, 2015. "Latin American Economy and Tourism," Springer Books, in: Alexandre Panosso Netto & Luiz Gonzaga Godoi Trigo (ed.), Tourism in Latin America, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 17-47, Springer.
    7. Witt, Stephen F. & Witt, Christine A., 1995. "Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 447-475, September.
    8. E. Çaglayan & N. Sak & K. Karymshakov, 2012. "Relationship between Tourism and Economic Growth: A Panel Granger Causality Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(5), pages 591-602, September.
    9. Haiyan Song & Gang Li & Stephen F. Witt & Baogang Fei, 2010. "Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: How Should Demand Be Measured?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(1), pages 63-81, March.
    10. Larry Dwyer & Peter Forsyth (ed.), 2006. "International Handbook on the Economics of Tourism," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2827.
    11. Neelu Seetaram & Sylvain Petit, 2012. "Panel data analysis in Tourism Research," Post-Print hal-01831529, HAL.
    12. Christine Lim & Michael McAleer, 2001. "Time Series Forecasts of International Tourism Demand for Australia," ISER Discussion Paper 0533, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    13. Kulendran, N. & King, Maxwell L., 1997. "Forecasting international quarterly tourist flows using error-correction and time-series models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 319-327, September.
    14. Willem A. Naudé & Andrea Saayman, 2005. "Determinants of Tourist Arrivals in Africa: A Panel Data Regression Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 11(3), pages 365-391, September.
    15. Neelu Seetaram & Sylvain Petit, 2012. "Panel Data Analysis," Chapters, in: Larry Dwyer & Alison Gill & Neelu Seetaram (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    16. Tiago Neves Sequeira & Paulo Maçãs Nunes, 2008. "Does Country Risk Influence International Tourism? A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(265), pages 223-236, June.
    17. E. Çağlayan & N. Şak & K. Karymshakov, 2012. "Relationship between Tourism and Economic Growth: A Panel Granger Causality Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(5), pages 591-602.
    18. Juan Luis Eugenio-Martín & Noelia Martín Morales & Riccardo Scarpa, 2004. "Tourism and Economic Growth in Latin American Countries: A Panel Data Approach," Working Papers 2004.26, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    19. repec:asi:aeafrj:2012:p:518-529 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Anonymous, 1965. "International Monetary Fund," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 1052-1056, October.
    21. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    22. Yair Eilat & Liran Einav, 2004. "Determinants of international tourism: a three-dimensional panel data analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(12), pages 1315-1327.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christian Stipanović & Dominik Patafta, 2018. "Challenges In Developing Well-Being Tourism – Lifeclass Terme Sveti Martin," Tourism and Hospitality Industry 34, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Tourism and Hospitality Management.
    2. Blanka Škrabić Perić & Blanka Šimundić & Vinko Muštra & Marijana Vugdelija, 2021. "The Role of UNESCO Cultural Heritage and Cultural Sector in Tourism Development: The Case of EU Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-14, May.
    3. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
    4. Nuno Carlos LEITÃO & Muhammad SHAHBAZ, 2012. "Migration and Tourism Demand," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(567)), pages 39-48, February.
    5. Albaladejo, Isabel P. & González-Martínez, María Isabel & Martínez-García, María Pilar, 2016. "Nonconstant reputation effect in a dynamic tourism demand model for Spain," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 132-139.
    6. Neelu Seetaram & Sylvain Petit, 2012. "Panel data analysis in Tourism Research," Post-Print hal-01831529, HAL.
    7. Nuno, Carlos Leitão & Muhammad, Shahbaz, 2011. "Migration and Tourist Flows," MPRA Paper 34905, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Nov 2011.
    8. De Vita, Glauco, 2014. "The long-run impact of exchange rate regimes on international tourism flows," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 226-233.
    9. Johan Fourie & María Santana-Gallego, 2013. "The determinants of African tourism," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 347-366, September.
    10. Boopen, Seetanah, 2005. "Transport Capital as a Determinant of Tourism Development: A Time Series Approach," MPRA Paper 25402, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Nov 2006.
    11. Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Cebeci, Kemal, 2013. "Impacts of exported Turkish soap operas and visa-free entry on inbound tourism to Turkey," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 186-192.
    12. Colin Cannonier & Monica Galloway Burke, 2019. "The economic growth impact of tourism in Small Island Developing States—evidence from the Caribbean," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 85-108, February.
    13. Roberto Patuelli & Maurizio Mussoni & Guido Candela, 2016. "The Effects of World Heritage Sites on Domestic Tourism: A Spatial Interaction Model for Italy," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Roberto Patuelli & Giuseppe Arbia (ed.), Spatial Econometric Interaction Modelling, chapter 0, pages 281-315, Springer.
    14. Yu-Xia Lin & Ming-Hsiang Chen & Bi-Shu Lin & Shu-Yin Tseng & Ching-Hui (Joan) Su, 2021. "Nonlinear impact of World Heritage Sites on China’s tourism expansion," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 795-819, June.
    15. Wamboye, Evelyn F. & Nyaronga, Peter John & Sergi, Bruno S., 2020. "What are the determinant of international tourism in Tanzania?," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    16. Etzo, Ivan & Massidda, Carla & Piras, Romano, 2014. "Migration and outbound tourism: Evidence from Italy," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 235-249.
    17. Willem A. Naudé & Andrea Saayman, 2005. "Determinants of Tourist Arrivals in Africa: A Panel Data Regression Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 11(3), pages 365-391, September.
    18. Konstantakopoulou, Ioanna, 2022. "Does health quality affect tourism? Evidence from system GMM estimates," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 425-440.
    19. Tzu-Ming Liu, 2020. "Habit formation or word of mouth: What does lagged dependent variable in tourism demand models imply?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(3), pages 461-474, May.
    20. Ouafae Ouariti Zerouali Ouariti & El Mehdi Jebrane, 2019. "Attractivité Touristique et Logistique Territoriale : Cas d'Etude de la Ville de Marrakech," Post-Print hal-02423773, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    tourism demand; pull factors; dynamic panel data; LAC countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tho:iscthi:24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ana Montan (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.