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Country Risk Analysis Based on Demographic and Socio-Economic Data
[Анализ Страновых Рисков С Использованием Демографических И Социально-Экономических Данных]

Author

Listed:
  • Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

  • Shulgin, Sergey (Шульгин, Сергей)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

  • Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

Abstract

The paper analyzes six existing methodologies for assessing socio-political risks (the Index of Political Instability, the model Koplin's country political risks - O'Leary; Index of Lager's peace and conflict instability; Global Peace Index; The George Mason University Instability Index; Index of failed and unstable states). A theoretical model of social instability is analyzed, a methodology of Network analysis is introduced, and a forecast of country risks for the most unstable Countries is provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей) & Shulgin, Sergey (Шульгин, Сергей) & Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия), 2017. "Country Risk Analysis Based on Demographic and Socio-Economic Data [Анализ Страновых Рисков С Использованием Демографических И Социально-Экономических Данных]," Working Papers 031715, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:wpaper:031715
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel & Seçil Şenel, 2018. "Analyzing the Global Risks for the Financial Crisis after the Great Depression Using Comparative Hybrid Hesitant Fuzzy Decision-Making Models: Policy Recommendations for Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-15, September.

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