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Are Covid-19 Cases Independent of the City Sizes?

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  • Aydogan, Yigit

Abstract

In this paper it is shown that more crowded cities did not exacerbate the Covid-19 pandemic. Reports from Turkey constitutes evidence that the Gibrat’s Law holds and the infection grows among population in proportion to the city sizes. Covid-19 cases are lognormally distributed throughout the country. While the 0-19 age group of the society is associated with a negative impact on the reported cases, 40-59 group has the most additive effect. Distribution of the reported deaths from Covid-19 does not grow in proportion to the city size, and may well be approximated by both exponential and normal distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Aydogan, Yigit, 2020. "Are Covid-19 Cases Independent of the City Sizes?," MPRA Paper 99697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:99697
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jennifer Beam Dowd & Liliana Andriano & David M. Brazel & Valentina Rotondi & Per Block & Xuejie Ding & Yan Liu & Melinda C. Mills, 2020. "Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(18), pages 9696-9698, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; Gibrat’s Law; Law of the Proportionate Effect; City Size Distribution.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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