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The Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization in Tanzania

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  • Epaphra, Manamba

Abstract

This paper examines the argument that trade liberalization depresses the import duty revenue, and consequently adversely affects the total tax revenue. The study is thought to be significant because Tanzania experiences difficulty in replacing import duty revenue loss as a consequence of trade reform by strengthening its consumption tax system. In the course of analysis, cointegration analysis and error correction modelling are employed over the 1979/80-2009/10 period. The empirical results show that import duty revenue-to-GDP ratio is positively related to tariff rates, implying that a reduction in the tariff rates results in a significant loss of import duty revenue. The results also show that the removal of protectionist policies led to an increase in import-to-GDP ratio which in turn led to rising shares of import duty revenue in GDP. Finally, the results generate some policy implications. The proper issue in tax design under trade liberalization, Tanzania needs to strengthen the domestic tax system and raise tax revenue without increasing tax rates by reinforcing tax and customs administrations so as to maintain fiscal stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Epaphra, Manamba, 2014. "The Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 62330, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:62330
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/62330/1/MPRA_paper_62330.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Manamba Epaphra & Lucas E. Kaaya, 2020. "Tax Revenue Effect of Sectoral Growth and Public Expenditure in Tanzania: An application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 15(3), pages 81-120, September.
    2. Nechifor, Victor & Boysen, Ole & Ferrari, Emanuele & Simola, Antti & Wafula, Martin & Laichena, Joshua & Malot, Kenneth, 2021. "The AfCFTA at a country level: trade liberalization in Kenya," Conference papers 333308, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Michael Takudzwa Pasara & Michael Zuze, 2021. "Can Remittances Boost Tax Revenues in Zimbabwe? A Secondary Quarterly Time Series Analysis," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 9(2), pages 128-144.
    4. Yaru, Mohammed Aminu & Raji, Ajibola Simbiat, 2021. "Corruption, Governance and Tax Revenue Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(1), December.
    5. Ahmad, Khalil & Ali, Safdar & Ali, Amjad, 2018. "Trade Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 87529, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Import Duty Revenue; Trade Liberalization;

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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