IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/333308.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The AfCFTA at a country level: trade liberalization in Kenya

Author

Listed:
  • Nechifor, Victor
  • Boysen, Ole
  • Ferrari, Emanuele
  • Simola, Antti
  • Wafula, Martin
  • Laichena, Joshua
  • Malot, Kenneth

Abstract

The study explores the impacts of establishing the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) on the economy of Kenya. By using a fully disaggregated single-country CGE model (55 commodities, 22 household groups) in combination with a global CGE model, it seeks to offer a detailed characterization of the economic impacts in the country in a number of areas (macroeconomic, sectoral and household welfare). In the context of the pre-existing regional trade agreements that Kenya is part of, it captures the incremental value for the Kenyan economy of the further trade liberalization commitments across the continent as may be agreed in the final AfCFTA text. The combined modeling framework allows to consider the global repercussions of the AfCFTA and especially the interaction effects of the liberalization between the African countries in assessing the implications for Kenya in higher detail, in particular on agricultural commodities and household groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Nechifor, Victor & Boysen, Ole & Ferrari, Emanuele & Simola, Antti & Wafula, Martin & Laichena, Joshua & Malot, Kenneth, 2021. "The AfCFTA at a country level: trade liberalization in Kenya," Conference papers 333308, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333308
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/333308/files/10942.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alexander Bilson Darku & Adriana Boakyewaa Appau, 2015. "Analysing Sub-Saharan Africa Trade Patterns In The Presence Of Regional Trade Agreements-The Case Of COMESA, SADC, ECCAS And ECOWAS," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 17(1), pages 41-66.
    2. Zhongwei Xing, 2018. "The impacts of Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and E-commerce on bilateral trade flows," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 565-586, July.
    3. Ole Boysen & Hans Grinsted Jensen & Alan Matthews, 2016. "Impact of EU agricultural policy on developing countries: A Uganda case study," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 377-402, June.
    4. Nath, Hiranya K. & Liu, Lirong, 2017. "Information and communications technology (ICT) and services trade," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 81-87.
    5. Michael Masiya, 2019. "Revenue Implications of Continental Free Trade Area: A Short‐run Perspective of Malawi," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(4), pages 529-538, December.
    6. Albert Makochekanwa, 2014. "Welfare Implications of COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite Free Trade Area," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 26(1), pages 186-202.
    7. Wolfgang F. Stolper & Paul A. Samuelson, 1941. "Protection and Real Wages," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 58-73.
    8. Elhanan Helpman & Marc Melitz & Yona Rubinstein, 2008. "Estimating Trade Flows: Trading Partners and Trading Volumes," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(2), pages 441-487.
    9. Thomas J Flavin & Margaret J Hurley & Fabrice Rousseau, 2002. "Explaining Stock Market Correlation: A Gravity Model Approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 70(S1), pages 87-106.
    10. Faqin Lin, 2015. "Estimating the effect of the Internet on international trade," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 409-428, April.
    11. Regis Y Simo, 2020. "Trade in Services in the African Continental Free Trade Area: Prospects, Challenges and WTO Compatibility," Journal of International Economic Law, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 65-95.
    12. Adelaide Matlanyane & C Harmse, 2002. "Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 70(2), pages 155-161, March.
    13. Robinson,Joan, 1979. "Aspects of Development and Underdevelopment," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521295895, September.
    14. repec:bla:manchs:v:70:y:2002:i:0:p:87-106 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Epaphra, Manamba, 2014. "The Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 62330, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bunje, Madinatou Yeh & Abendin, Simon & Wang, Yin, 2022. "The multidimensional effect of financial development on trade in Africa: The role of the digital economy," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(10).
    2. Visser, Robin, 2019. "The effect of the internet on the margins of trade," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 41-54.
    3. Hattari, Rabin & S. Rajan, Ramkishen, 2011. "How Different are FDI and FPI Flows?: Distance and Capital Market Integration," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 26, pages 499-525.
    4. Erick Kitenge & Sajal Lahiri, 2022. "Is the Internet bringing down language‐based barriers to international trade?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 566-605, May.
    5. Debrah, Yaw A. & Olabode, Oluwaseun E. & Olan, Femi & Nyuur, Richard B., 2024. "The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA): Taking stock and looking ahead for international business research," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 30(2).
    6. Abueg, Luisito, 2018. "Survey of gravity models of trade and labour, and a proposed trade-employment gravity model for the Philippines," MPRA Paper 87256, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Zi Hui Yin & Chang Hwan Choi, 2023. "The effects of China’s cross-border e-commerce on its exports: a comparative analysis of goods and services trade," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 443-474, March.
    8. Shetewy, Nsreen & Shahin, Ahmed Ismail & Omri, Anis & Dai, Kuizao, 2022. "Impact of financial development and internet use on export growth: New evidence from machine learning models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Ahmad, Khalil & Ali, Safdar & Ali, Amjad, 2018. "Trade Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 87529, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Mahdi Ghodsi, 2023. "Regulatory Convergence within Technical Barriers to Trade," wiiw Working Papers 229, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    11. Mahdi Ghodsi, 2021. "Impact of Technical Barriers to Trade on the Trade in Goods in the Information and Communications Technology Sector: Differentiating by Aim of the Regulatory Measure," wiiw Working Papers 208, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    12. Ndubuisi, Gideon & Avenyo, Elvis, 2018. "Estimating the effects of robotization on exports," MERIT Working Papers 2018-046, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    13. Awad, Atif & Albaity, Mohamed, 2022. "ICT and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Transmission channels and effects," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(8).
    14. Burcu Ozcan, 2018. "Information and communications technology (ICT) and international trade: evidence from Turkey," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(1), pages 93-113, April.
    15. Burcu Ozcan & Hiranya Nath, 2016. "Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and International Trade: Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers 1609, Sam Houston State University, Department of Economics and International Business.
    16. Jiang, Yushi & Borojo, Dinkneh Gebre, 2018. "The impacts of institutional quality and infrastructure on overall and intra-Africa trade," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-75, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    17. Rabin Hattari & Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2011. "How Different are FDI and FPI Flows?: Does Distance Alter the Composition of Capital Flows?," Working Papers 092011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    18. Simon Yannick Fouda Ekobena & Adama Ekberg Coulibaly & Mama Keita & Antonio Pedro, 2021. "Potentials of the African Continental Free Trade Area: A combined partial and general equilibrium modeling assessment for Central Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 452-465, September.
    19. Abeliansky, Ana Lucia & Barbero, Javier & Rodriguez-Crespo, Ernesto, 2021. "ICTs quality and quantity and the margins of trade," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
    20. Anthony Briant & Pierre-Philippe Combes & Miren Lafourcade, 2014. "Product Complexity, Quality of Institutions and the Protrade Effect of Immigrants," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 63-85, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333308. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.