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The impact of scrappage programs on the demand for new vehicles: Evidence from Spain

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  • Cantos-Sánchez, Pedro
  • Gutiérrez-i-Puigarnau, Eva
  • Mulalic, Ismir

Abstract

We evaluate the impact of the Spanish car scrappage program introduced in May 2009 on short-run car purchases. The scrappage program was simultaneously discussed and implemented, and was therefore exogenous to the consumers. We analyse the effect of this program on household new car purchase decision and household expenditures. The results show that the scrappage program increased the probability to buy a new car, but decreased the mean expenditure devoted to the purchase of this new vehicle. We also evaluate the impact of the financial aid on the household welfare, which suggests that the scrappage program was neutral.

Suggested Citation

  • Cantos-Sánchez, Pedro & Gutiérrez-i-Puigarnau, Eva & Mulalic, Ismir, 2015. "The impact of scrappage programs on the demand for new vehicles: Evidence from Spain," MPRA Paper 61224, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:61224
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    Cited by:

    1. Alberini, Anna & Bareit, Markus & Filippini, Massimo & Martinez-Cruz, Adan L., 2018. "The impact of emissions-based taxes on the retirement of used and inefficient vehicles: The case of Switzerland," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 234-258.
    2. Lüth, Hendrik, 2021. "Reassessing Car Scrappage Schemes in Selected OECD Countries: A Synthetic Control Method Application," Working Paper 190/2021, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    3. Marin, Giovanni & Zoboli, Roberto, 2020. "Effectiveness of car scrappage schemes: Counterfactual-based evidence on the Italian experience," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    4. Christpher Leisinger & Felix Rösel, 2020. "Kaum mehr als ein Strohfeuer – Evaluationsstudien zu Abwrackprämien im Überblick," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 27(03), pages 25-27, June.
    5. Ufuk Demiroglu & Caglar Yunculer, 2016. "Estimating light-vehicle sales in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 16(3), pages 93-108.
    6. Balaguer, Jacint & Pernías, José C. & Ripollés, Jordi, 2023. "Is vehicle scrapping affected by low-emission zones? The case of Madrid," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    7. Homolka, Lubor & Ngo, Vu Minh & Pavelková, Drahomíra & Le, Bach Tuan & Dehning, Bruce, 2020. "Short- and medium-term car registration forecasting based on selected macro and socio-economic indicators in European countries," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Car demand; scrappage program; economic crisis; subsidy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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