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Macroeconomic Effects from Media Coverage of the China-U.S. Trade War on selected EU Countries

Author

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  • Beckmann, Joscha
  • Czudaj, Robert L.
  • Murach, Michael

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to analyze the macroeconomic effects of media coverage related to the trade conflict between China and the U.S. for selected countries of the European Union. Our main aim is to evaluate whether media coverage constitutes a relevant transmission channel for macroeconomic effects. We evaluate the response of survey-based macroeconomic expectations, stock prices, and realized industrial production. Our analysis focuses on Germany, France, Italy, and Spain in order to allow for heterogeneous effects across major EU countries. We find significant effects on expectations, stock prices, and industrial production. Especially, a significantly negative effect on current account expectations is observed for three of the four considered EU countries (Germany, Italy, and Spain).

Suggested Citation

  • Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L. & Murach, Michael, 2024. "Macroeconomic Effects from Media Coverage of the China-U.S. Trade War on selected EU Countries," MPRA Paper 121751, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:121751
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; Current account; EU; Expectations; Trade war;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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