IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/114638.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Влияние пандемии Сovid-19 на пространственную динамику продовольственных цен
[Covid-19 impact on spatial food prices dynamics]

Author

Listed:
  • Timiryanova, Venera
  • Krasnoselskaya, Dina

Abstract

External shocks affect the balance of supply and demand, and, consequently, the established price of goods. There were varying price reactions around the world in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. The sharp increase in demand and prices for many goods posed threats to food security. The difference in reactions determined the regional price variance, the study of which is relevant for the formation of a regional policy of food security. The paper presents the results of the spatial change assessment in food prices in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic in Russia. We conducted analysis within 28 product groups from January 1, 2019 to March 31, 2022. Used data are considered in relation to data on the number of people infected with COVID-19 across 83 Russian constituent entities since March 12, 2020 to March 31, 2022.The study focused on the analysis of spatial variance and spatial autocorrelation of prices. The results indicated that changing trends in spatial relationships had their own peculiarities for each product. The event itself, but not an increase in the number of cases affected prices’ dynamics that subsequently indirectly influenced the functioning of commodity markets and its filling with products.

Suggested Citation

  • Timiryanova, Venera & Krasnoselskaya, Dina, 2022. "Влияние пандемии Сovid-19 на пространственную динамику продовольственных цен [Covid-19 impact on spatial food prices dynamics]," MPRA Paper 114638, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:114638
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/114638/1/MPRA_paper_114638.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr. & Nshakira-Rukundo, Emmanuel & Gebrekidan, Bisrat, 2022. "COVID-19 and food (in)security in Africa: Review of the emerging empirical evidence," IFPRI discussion papers 2121, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Marie Leclair & Isabelle Léonard & Guillaume Rateau & Patrick Sillard & Gaëtan Varlet & Pierre Vernédal, 2019. "Scanner Data: Advances in Methodology and New Challenges for Computing Consumer Price," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 509, pages 13-29.
    3. Dietrich, Stephan & Giuffrida, Valerio & Martorano, Bruno & Schmerzeck, Georg, 2021. "COVID-19 policy responses, mobility, and food prices: Evidence from local markets in 47 low to middle income countries," MERIT Working Papers 2021-008, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    4. Hamulczuk, Mariusz & Skrzypczyk, Marta, 2022. "European Union Agri-Food Prices During Covid-19 and their Selected Determinants," Problems of Agricultural Economics / Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej 324172, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute (IAFE-NRI).
    5. Jill E. Hobbs, 2020. "Food supply chains during the COVID‐19 pandemic," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 68(2), pages 171-176, June.
    6. Xiaohua Yu & Chang Liu & Hanjie Wang & Jan-Henning Feil, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on food prices in China: evidence of four major food products from Beijing, Shandong and Hubei Provinces," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(3), pages 445-458, June.
    7. Rishab Guha & Serena Ng, 2019. "A Machine Learning Analysis of Seasonal and Cyclical Sales in Weekly Scanner Data," NBER Chapters, in: Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics, pages 403-436, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kamal Vatta & Shruti Bhogal & Adam S. Green & Heena Sharma & Cameron A. Petrie & Sandeep Dixit, 2022. "COVID-19 Pandemic-Induced Disruptions and Implications for National Food Security and Farm Incomes: Farm-Level Evidence from Indian Punjab," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-13, April.
    2. Jianqing Ruan & Qingwen Cai & Songqing Jin, 2021. "Impact of COVID‐19 and Nationwide Lockdowns on Vegetable Prices: Evidence from Wholesale Markets in China," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1574-1594, October.
    3. Venera Timiryanova & Irina Lakman & Vadim Prudnikov & Dina Krasnoselskaya, 2022. "Spatial Dependence of Average Prices for Product Categories and Its Change over Time: Evidence from Daily Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    4. Fang, Da & Guo, Yan, 2022. "Flow of goods to the shock of COVID-19 and toll-free highway policy: Evidence from logistics data in China," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Kalle Hirvonen & Bart Minten & Belay Mohammed & Seneshaw Tamru, 2021. "Food prices and marketing margins during the COVID‐19 pandemic: Evidence from vegetable value chains in Ethiopia," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(3), pages 407-421, May.
    6. Margherita Bernabei & Silvia Colabianchi & Francesco Costantino, 2022. "Actions and Strategies for Coronavirus to Ensure Supply Chain Resilience: A Systemic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-19, October.
    7. Anca C. Farcas & Charis M. Galanakis & Carmen Socaciu & Oana L. Pop & Dorin Tibulca & Adriana Paucean & Mirela A. Jimborean & Melinda Fogarasi & Liana C. Salanta & Maria Tofana & Sonia A. Socaci, 2020. "Food Security during the Pandemic and the Importance of the Bioeconomy in the New Era," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Meuwissen, Miranda & Feindt, Peter & Slijper, Thomas & Spiegel, Alisa & Finger, Robert & de Mey, Yann & Paas, Wim & Termeer, Katrien & Poortvliet, P. Marijn & Peneva, Mariya & Urquhart, Julie & Vigani, 2021. "Impact of Covid-19 on farming systems in Europe through the lens of resilience thinking," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 191.
    9. Lorenzo Bruno Prataviera & Alessandro Creazza & Marco Melacini & Fabrizio Dallari, 2022. "Heading for Tomorrow: Resilience Strategies for Post-COVID-19 Grocery Supply Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, February.
    10. Ranveer Singh Rana & Dinesh Kumar & Kanika Prasad & K. Mathiyazhagan, 2024. "Mitigating the impact of demand disruption on perishable inventory in a two-warehouse system," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 469-504, June.
    11. Haider, Zulqarnain & Hu, Yujie & Charkhgard, Hadi & Himmelgreen, David & Kwon, Changhyun, 2022. "Creating grocery delivery hubs for food deserts at local convenience stores via spatial and temporal consolidation," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PB).
    12. Wallingford, Jessica K. & Masters, William A., 2021. "Stringency of COVID-19 movement restrictions are associated with elevated retail food prices: evidence from 133 countries," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314003, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Zesen Qian & Lingran Yuan & Shuo Wang & Qizheng Zhang & Binlei Gong, 2021. "Epidemics, Convergence, and Common Prosperity: Evidence from China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(6), pages 117-138, November.
    14. Khan, Syed Abdul Rehman & Razzaq, Asif & Yu, Zhang & Shah, Adeel & Sharif, Arshian & Janjua, Laeeq, 2022. "Disruption in food supply chain and undernourishment challenges: An empirical study in the context of Asian countries," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PA).
    15. Marta Wincewicz-Bosy & Adam Sadowski & Katarzyna Wąsowska & Zbigniew Galar & Małgorzata Dymyt, 2022. "Military Food Supply Chain during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-22, February.
    16. Chen Zhu & Rigoberto A. Lopez & Yuan Gao & Xiaoou Liu, 2021. "The COVID‐19 Pandemic and Consumption of Food away from Home: Evidence from High‐frequency Restaurant Transaction Data," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(6), pages 73-94, November.
    17. Timothy J. Richards & Zachariah Rutledge & Marcelo Castillo, 2024. "Labor shortages and agricultural trucking rates," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 72(2), pages 105-129, June.
    18. Christopher Dobronyi & Christian Gouri'eroux, 2020. "Consumer Theory with Non-Parametric Taste Uncertainty and Individual Heterogeneity," Papers 2010.13937, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    19. Bixuan Yang & Frank Asche & Tao Li, 2022. "Consumer behavior and food prices during the COVID‐19 pandemic: Evidence from Chinese cities," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(3), pages 1437-1460, July.
    20. Aadarsh Poduval & Maruti Sriram Ayyagari & Mohit Malinda & Vimal K.E.K & Anil Kumar & Jayakrishna Kandasamy, 2022. "Barriers in repurposing an existing manufacturing plant: a total interpretive structural modeling (TISM) approach," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 1315-1340, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    spatial price; spatial analysis; external shocks; COVID-19; Global Moran's Index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:114638. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.