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DEMOCARE: A mixed kinship microsimulation and Agent-Based models for studying family supply of time for care of elderly people with disabilities

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  • Devolder, Daniel
  • Spijker, Jeroen
  • Zueras, Pilar

Abstract

This paper presents a mixed model for studying the amount of time of care available from family members of elderly people with disabilities, mainly of irreversible type, like Alzheimer or other neurological diseases. This model starts with data obtained from a classical microsimulation model of kinship which provides descending genealogies of elderly persons, based on demographic parameters specifics to the population studied. These genealogies are then fed to an Agent-Based model which follow these elderly persons and their kin for age 50 until their death in order to study the balance between the demand for care of disabled persons and the supply of care by their kin. This supply depends on the situation of these kin, typically of their labour status as well as the eventual needs for care of their own families. The paper reviews the methodology for the construction of microsimulation models of kinship and presents our own implementation. It also details the specifications of the Agent-based part of the overall model. Finally, we present some results using Spanish data.

Suggested Citation

  • Devolder, Daniel & Spijker, Jeroen & Zueras, Pilar, 2021. "DEMOCARE: A mixed kinship microsimulation and Agent-Based models for studying family supply of time for care of elderly people with disabilities," SocArXiv 3e7sg_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:3e7sg_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/3e7sg_v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yan Ma & Zhenjiang Shen & Dinh Thanh Nguyen, 2016. "Agent-Based Simulation to Inform Planning Strategies for Welfare Facilities for the Elderly: Day Care Center Development in a Japanese City," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 19(4), pages 1-5.
    2. Martin Spielauer, 2007. "Dynamic microsimulation of health care demand, health care finance and the economic impact of health behaviours: survey and review," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 1(1), pages 35-53.
    3. Jinjing Li & Cathal O'Donoghue, 2013. "A survey of dynamic microsimulation models: uses, model structure and methodology," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 6(2), pages 3-55.
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