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Modeling the propagation of the Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya virus in the city of Bello using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation

Author

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  • Mateus C, Rafael
  • Zuluaga, Susana Alvarez
  • Orozco, Mariajose Franco
  • Marín, Paula Alejandra Escudero

Abstract

Agent-Based Models (ABM) have become a very useful tool to simulate the propagation of infectious diseases. To enhance the scope of these simulation models, some authors have combined ABMs with ODE models which are called Hybrid ABMs, and allows the simulation of models that demand a very high computational cost. In the present project, the main approach is to develop hybrid ABMs to understand the transmission dynamics of vector-borne diseases such as Dengue, Zika, and Chikungunya considering some geospatial characteristics of the city of Bello, Colombia. Some assumptions were considered to develop the computational model to understand and verify if the transmission dynamics were happening according to their theoretical behavior. The results obtained were satisfactory, and for future work, the idea is to integrate more components and make the model more realistic.

Suggested Citation

  • Mateus C, Rafael & Zuluaga, Susana Alvarez & Orozco, Mariajose Franco & Marín, Paula Alejandra Escudero, 2021. "Modeling the propagation of the Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya virus in the city of Bello using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation," OSF Preprints wmxzd, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:wmxzd
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/wmxzd
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Miranda Chan & Michael A Johansson, 2012. "The Incubation Periods of Dengue Viruses," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(11), pages 1-7, November.
    2. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta & DeAngelis, Donald L. & Polhill, J. Gary & Giske, Jarl & Railsback, Steven F., 2010. "The ODD protocol: A review and first update," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(23), pages 2760-2768.
    3. Maneerat, Somsakun & Daudé, Eric, 2016. "A spatial agent-based simulation model of the dengue vector Aedes aegypti to explore its population dynamics in urban areas," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 333(C), pages 66-78.
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