IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/osfxxx/jk67t_v1.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Temporal and spatial estimates of adult mortality for small areas in Brazil, 1980-2010

Author

Listed:
  • Queiroz, Bernardo L

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil)

  • Lima, Everton
  • Freire, Flávio
  • Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto

Abstract

BACKGROUND The study of mortality level and trends in developing countries is limited by the quality of vital registration system and population data, especially for small areas. However, understanding regional differences in data quality and mortality is crucial for public health planning. OBJECTIVE The paper aims to estimate adult mortality levels for small-areas in Brazil and to examine variations and spatial patterns of adult mortality across regions, overtime and by sex in the country METHODS We combine a three-method strategy. We apply a standardization technique to smooth rates in small areas. We then obtained measures of completeness of death counts coverage using Death Distribution Methods. And spatial analysis to investigate variations and patterns of adult mortality in small areas of the country. RESULTS We find that completeness of death counts coverage improved overtime across the country. We observed that regions in the south and southeast have complete death registration systems and areas in the less developed regions are improving. We observe a large and constant differential in adult mortality by sex and regions. CONCLUSIONS We find that the quality of mortality data in Brazil and regions is improving over time. The improvement is mostly explain by public investments in collection health data. Gender differences remained high over the period of analysis due to the increase in external causes of deaths for males. This increase also explains the concentration of high mortality levels for males in some areas of the country. CONTRIBUTION A new methodological procedure on estimating and analyzing the evolutions on adult mortality pattern over time and across smaller areas on the presence of defective data, on both vital statistics and population data.

Suggested Citation

  • Queiroz, Bernardo L & Lima, Everton & Freire, Flávio & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto, 2017. "Temporal and spatial estimates of adult mortality for small areas in Brazil, 1980-2010," OSF Preprints jk67t_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:jk67t_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/jk67t_v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/59da1eea6c613b02b25ecb6b/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/jk67t_v1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carl Schmertmann & Joseph Potter & Suzana Cavenaghi, 2008. "Exploratory Analysis of Spatial Patterns in Brazil’s Fertility Transition," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 27(1), pages 1-15, February.
    2. Renato Assunção & Carl Schmertmann & Joseph Potter & Suzana Cavenaghi, 2005. "Empirical bayes estimation of demographic schedules for small areas," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 42(3), pages 537-558, August.
    3. Andrew Fenelon, 2013. "Geographic Divergence in Mortality in the United States," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 39(4), pages 611-634, December.
    4. Camarda, Carlo G., 2012. "MortalitySmooth: An R Package for Smoothing Poisson Counts with P-Splines," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 50(i01).
    5. Matt Ruther & Stefan Leyk & Barbara Buttenfield, 2017. "Deriving Small Area Mortality Estimates Using a Probabilistic Reweighting Method," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(6), pages 1299-1314, November.
    6. Carl P. Schmertmann & Suzana M. Cavenaghi & Renato M. Assunção & Joseph E. Potter, 2013. "Bayes plus Brass: Estimating total fertility for many small areas from sparse census data," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 67(3), pages 255-273, November.
    7. Kenneth Hill & Yoonjoung Choi & Ian Timæus, 2005. "Unconventional approaches to mortality estimation," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(12), pages 281-300.
    8. Fabio Divino & Viviana Egidi & Michele Antonio Salvatore, 2009. "Geographical mortality patterns in Italy," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 20(18), pages 435-466.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Queiroz, Bernardo L & Lima, Everton & Freire, Flávio & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto, 2017. "Temporal and spatial estimates of adult mortality for small areas in Brazil, 1980-2010," OSF Preprints jk67t, Center for Open Science.
    2. Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Queiroz, Bernardo L & Monteiro da Silva, José H C & Lima, Everton & Júnio, Walter P. Silva & DIOGENES, VICTOR HUGO DIAS & Flores-Ortiz, Renzo & da Costa, Lilia Carolina Carne, 2022. "Estimation and projection of probabilistic age- and sex-specific mortality rates across Brazilian municipalities between 2010 and 2030," OSF Preprints egrc9, Center for Open Science.
    3. Queiroz, Bernardo L & Lima, Everton & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Freire, Flávio, 2018. "Adult Mortality Differentials and Regional Development at the local level in Brazil, 1980-2010," OSF Preprints szvtq, Center for Open Science.
    4. Tom Wilson & Irina Grossman & Monica Alexander & Phil Rees & Jeromey Temple, 2022. "Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 865-898, June.
    5. Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Queiroz, Bernardo L & Monteiro da Silva, José H C & Lima, Everton & Júnio, Walter P. Silva & DIOGENES, VICTOR HUGO DIAS & Flores-Ortiz, Renzo & da Costa, Lilia Carolina Carne, 2022. "Estimation and projection of probabilistic age- and sex-specific mortality rates across Brazilian municipalities between 2010 and 2030," OSF Preprints egrc9_v1, Center for Open Science.
    6. Queiroz, Bernardo L & Lima, Everton & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Freire, Flávio, 2018. "Adult Mortality Differentials and Regional Development at the local level in Brazil, 1980-2010," OSF Preprints szvtq_v1, Center for Open Science.
    7. Touma, Fatima & Hummer, Robert A., 2022. "Race/ethnicity, immigrant generation, and physiological dysregulation among U.S. adults entering midlife," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    8. Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi & Stefano Mazzuco, 2021. "Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 97-120, March.
    9. Sebastian Klüsener & Martin Dribe & Francesco Scalone, 2016. "Spatial and social distance in the fertility transition: Sweden 1880-1900," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2016-009, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    10. José M. Aburto & Alyson A. van Raalte, 2017. "Lifespan dispersion in times of life expectancy fluctuation: the case of Central and Eastern Europe," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2017-018, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    11. Michael S. Rendall & Mark S. Handcock & Stefan H. Jonsson, 2007. "Bayesian Estimation of Hispanic Fertility Hazards from Survey and Population Data," Working Papers WR-496, RAND Corporation.
    12. Juan Manuel Pérez-Salamero González & Marta Regúlez-Castillo & Carlos Vidal-Meliá, 2021. "Differences in Life Expectancy Between Self-Employed Workers and Paid Employees when Retirement Pensioners: Evidence from Spanish Social Security Records," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(3), pages 697-725, July.
    13. Stephen Matthews & Daniel M. Parker, 2013. "Progress in Spatial Demography," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(10), pages 271-312.
    14. Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher & James E. Oeppen & Vladimir Canudas-Romo & James W. Vaupel, 2017. "Coherent forecasts of mortality with compositional data analysis," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(17), pages 527-566.
    15. Zhang Zhen & Bhattacharjee Arnab & Marques João & Maiti Tapabrata, 2021. "Spatio-Temporal Patterns in Portuguese Regional Fertility Rates: A Bayesian Approach for Spatial Clustering of Curves," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 37(3), pages 611-653, September.
    16. Ugofilippo Basellini & Søren Kjærgaard & Carlo Giovanni Camarda, 2020. "An age-at-death distribution approach to forecast cohort mortality," Working Papers axafx5_3agsuwaphvlfk, French Institute for Demographic Studies.
    17. Adrien Remund & Carlo G. Camarda & Tim Riffe, 2018. "A Cause-of-Death Decomposition of Young Adult Excess Mortality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(3), pages 957-978, June.
    18. Andrea Colasurdo & Riccardo Omenti, 2024. "Using online genealogical data for demographic research: An empirical examination of the FamiLinx database," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 51(41), pages 1299-1350.
    19. Ugofilippo Basellini & Carlo Giovanni Camarda, 2020. "Modelling COVID-19 mortality at the regional level in Italy," Working Papers axq0sudakgkzhr-blecv, French Institute for Demographic Studies.
    20. Dalkhat M. Ediev, 2018. "Constrained Mortality Extrapolation to Old Age: An Empirical Assessment," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 34(3), pages 441-457, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:jk67t_v1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://osf.io/preprints/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.