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Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards

Author

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  • Hillier, John
  • Dixon, Richard

Abstract

Impact-based, seasonal mapping of compound hazards is proposed. It is pragmatic, identifies phenomena to drive the research agenda, produces outputs relevant to stakeholders, and could be applied to many hazards globally. Illustratively, flooding and wind damage can co-occur, worsening their joint impact, yet where wet and windy seasons combine has not yet been systematically mapped. Here, seasonal proxies for wintertime flooding and wind damage are used to map, at 1x1° resolution, the association between these perils across Europe within 600 years as realized in SEAS5 hindcast data. Paired areas of enhanced-suppressed correlation are identified (Scotland, Norway), and are shown to be created by orographically-enhanced rainfall (or shelter) from prevailing westerly storms.

Suggested Citation

  • Hillier, John & Dixon, Richard, 2020. "Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards," Earth Arxiv qfj5g, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:eartha:qfj5g
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/qfj5g
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jakob Zscheischler & Seth Westra & Bart J. J. M. Hurk & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Philip J. Ward & Andy Pitman & Amir AghaKouchak & David N. Bresch & Michael Leonard & Thomas Wahl & Xuebin Zhang, 2018. "Future climate risk from compound events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 469-477, June.
    2. John K. Hillier & Tom Matthews & Robert L. Wilby & Conor Murphy, 2020. "Multi-hazard dependencies can increase or decrease risk," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(7), pages 595-598, July.
    3. Michael Hawker, 2007. "Climate Change and the Global Insurance Industry," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 32(1), pages 22-28, January.
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