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Multi-hazard dependencies can increase or decrease risk

Author

Listed:
  • John K. Hillier

    (Loughborough University)

  • Tom Matthews

    (Loughborough University)

  • Robert L. Wilby

    (Loughborough University)

  • Conor Murphy

    (Maynooth University)

Abstract

In risk analysis, it is recognized that hazards can often combine to worsen their joint impact, but impact data for a rail network show that hazards can also tend to be mutually exclusive at seasonal timescales. Ignoring this overestimates worst-case risk, so we therefore champion a broader view of risk from compound hazards.

Suggested Citation

  • John K. Hillier & Tom Matthews & Robert L. Wilby & Conor Murphy, 2020. "Multi-hazard dependencies can increase or decrease risk," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(7), pages 595-598, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:10:y:2020:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-020-0832-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0832-y
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    Cited by:

    1. Hillier, John & Dixon, Richard, 2020. "Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards," Earth Arxiv qfj5g, Center for Open Science.
    2. Yifan Da & Zhiyuan Ji & Yongsheng Zhou, 2022. "Building Damage Assessment Based on Siamese Hierarchical Transformer Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, June.

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