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The new Destinie 2 microsimulation model: main characteristics and illustrative results

Author

Listed:
  • D. BLANCHET

    (Insee)

  • S. BUFFETEAU

    (Drees)

  • E. CRENNER

    (Drees)

  • S. LE MINEZ

    (Dares)

Abstract

The Destinie model is a dynamic microsimulation model that has been developed and used at the French national statistical institute (INSEE) since the mid-1990s and whose main application is the analysis of pension policies. The paper presents the new version of the model that is progressively becoming operational. The main goals of this new version have been to improve the robustness and the flexibility of the instrument. This new model has two separate components: (a) a generator of demographic and employment biographies, whose results are stored in intermediate output files and (b) a library of subroutines allowing an easy programming of ad hoc pension projections based on data from these intermediary files. We explain the advantages of this new structure and we provide some preliminary results showing the impacts of the 1993 and 2003 reforms, or of the long-term impact, on pensions, of various post-crisis growth scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • D. Blanchet & S. Buffeteau & E. Crenner & S. Le Minez, 2010. "The new Destinie 2 microsimulation model: main characteristics and illustrative results," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2010-13, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:nse:doctra:g2010-13
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Melika Ben Salem & Didier Blanchet & Antoine Bozio & Muriel Roger, 2010. "Labor Force Participation by the Elderly and Employment of the Young: The Case of France," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World: The Relationship to Youth Employment, pages 119-146, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. M. Duée & C. Rebillard, 2004. "Old age disability in France: a long run projection," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2004-02, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    3. José Bardaji & Béatrice Sédillot & Emmanuelle Walraet, 2003. "Un outil de prospective des retraites : le modèle de microsimulation Destinie," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 193-213.
    4. Stock, James H & Wise, David A, 1990. "Pensions, the Option Value of Work, and Retirement," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(5), pages 1151-1180, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pensions; microsimulation; retirement behavior;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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