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Un outil de prospective des retraites : le modèle de microsimulation Destinie

Author

Listed:
  • José Bardaji
  • Béatrice Sédillot
  • Emmanuelle Walraet

Abstract

The number of retired people is set to rise sharply, raising the question of the long-term financial sustainability of the pension system. Several reforms have been introduced in recent years to keep the system in balance. Insee?s Destinie microsimulation model is used to evaluate the impact of these reforms on employment behaviour and pensions. The paper describes the model?s overall architecture, then how the pension situation in the private sector will evolve, based on a simulation using the current rules (liquidation ages, period of insurance, average pension, etc.). The consequences of the 1993 reform and the introduction of index-linked pensions are then discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • José Bardaji & Béatrice Sédillot & Emmanuelle Walraet, 2003. "Un outil de prospective des retraites : le modèle de microsimulation Destinie," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 193-213.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_160_0193
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carole Bonnet & Sophie Buffeteau & Pascal Godefroy, 2006. "Disparités de retraite entre hommes et femmes : quelles évolutions au fil des générations ?," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 398(1), pages 131-148.
    2. D. Blanchet & E. Crenner, 2010. "The pension projection package of the Destinie 2 model: users guide," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2010-14, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    3. A. Cazenave-Lacroutz & F. Godet & V. Lin, 2018. "The introduction of a social gradient in mortality in the Destinie 2 model," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2018-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    4. D. Blanchet & S. Buffeteau & E. Crenner & S. Le Minez, 2010. "The new Destinie 2 microsimulation model: main characteristics and illustrative results," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2010-13, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    5. Didier Blanchet & Sylvie Le Minez & Anthony Marino, 2017. "Building and Interpreting Macro/Micro Estimates of Accrued-to-Date Pension Liabilities: French Reforms as a Case Study," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 63(1), pages 70-94, March.
    6. Didier Blanchet & Cyrille Hagneré & François Legendre & Florence Thibault, 2015. "Introduction. Microsimulations statique et dynamique appliquées aux politiques fiscales et sociales : modèles et méthodes," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 481(1), pages 5-30.

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