Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Note: AP CF LS PE POL
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- David Danz & Lise Vesterlund & Alistair J. Wilson, 2020. "Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives," CESifo Working Paper Series 8048, CESifo.
References listed on IDEAS
- Andrew Schotter & Isabel Trevino, 2014. "Belief Elicitation in the Laboratory," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 103-128, August.
- Tanjim Hossain & Ryo Okui, 2013. "The Binarized Scoring Rule," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(3), pages 984-1001.
- Simon Gächter & Elke Renner, 2010.
"The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 13(3), pages 364-377, September.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2006. "The Effects of (Incentivized) Belief Elicitation in Public Good Experiments," Discussion Papers 2006-16, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2010. "The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments," Discussion Papers 2010-12, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Palfrey, Thomas R. & Wang, Stephanie W., 2009.
"On eliciting beliefs in strategic games,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 98-109, August.
- Palfrey, Thomas R. & Wang, Stephanie W., "undated". "On eliciting beliefs in strategic games," Working Papers 1271, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences.
- Mohammed Abdellaoui & Ahmed Driouchi & Olivier L’Haridon, 2011.
"Risk aversion elicitation: reconciling tractability and bias minimization,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 71(1), pages 63-80, July.
- Olivier L'Haridon & Mohammed Abdellaoui & A. Driouchi, 2011. "Risk aversion elicitation: reconciling tractability and bias minimization," Post-Print hal-00609543, HAL.
- Masiliūnas, Aidas, 2017.
"Overcoming coordination failure in a critical mass game: Strategic motives and action disclosure,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 214-251.
- Aidas Masiliunas, 2016. "Overcoming Coordination Failure in a Critical Mass Game: Strategic Motives and Action Disclosure," AMSE Working Papers 1609, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Aidas Masiliūnas, 2017. "Overcoming coordination failure in a critical mass game: Strategic motives and action disclosure," Post-Print hal-01681048, HAL.
- Aidas Masiliunas, 2016. "Overcoming Coordination Failure in a Critical Mass Game: Strategic Motives and Action Disclosure," Working Papers halshs-01273429, HAL.
- Urs Fischbacher, 2007. "z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 10(2), pages 171-178, June.
- Glenn W. Harrison & Richard D. Phillips, 2014. "Subjective Beliefs and Statistical Forecasts of Financial Risks: The Chief Risk Officer Project," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Torben Juul Andersen (ed.), Contemporary Challenges in Risk Management, chapter 7, pages 163-202, Palgrave Macmillan.
- Nisvan Erkal & Lata Gangadharan & Boon Han Koh, 2018. "By chance or by choice? Biased attribution of others’ outcomes," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2040, The University of Melbourne.
- Marie-Pierre Dargnies & Rustamdjan Hakimov & Dorothea Kübler, 2019.
"Self-Confidence and Unraveling in Matching Markets,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(12), pages 5603-5618, December.
- Dargnies, Marie-Pierre & Hakimov, Rustamdjan & Kübler, Dorothea, 2019. "Self-Confidence and Unraveling in Matching Markets," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 65(12), pages 5603-5618.
- Dargnies, Marie-Pierre & Hakimov, Rustamdjan & Kübler, Dorothea, 2016. "Self-confidence and unraveling in matching markets," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Behavior SP II 2016-210, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Dargnies, Marie-Pierre & Kübler, Dorothea, 2017. "Self-Confidence and Unraveling In Matching Markets," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 5, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Marie-Pierre Dargnies & Rustamdjan Hakimov & Dorothea Kübler, 2019. "Self-confidence and unraveling in matching markets," Post-Print hal-02059282, HAL.
- David Bruner, 2009.
"Changing the probability versus changing the reward,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 12(4), pages 367-385, December.
- David M. Bruner, 2009. "Changing the Probability versus Changing the Reward," Working Papers 09-04, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Debrah Meloso & Salvatore Nunnari & Marco Ottaviani, 2023.
"Looking into Crystal Balls: A Laboratory Experiment on Reputational Cheap Talk,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(9), pages 5112-5127, September.
- Ottaviani, Marco & Meloso, Debrah & Nunnari, Salvatore, 2018. "Looking into Crystal Balls: A Laboratory Experiment on Reputational Cheap Talk," CEPR Discussion Papers 13231, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Linda Babcock & Maria P. Recalde & Lise Vesterlund & Laurie Weingart, 2017. "Gender Differences in Accepting and Receiving Requests for Tasks with Low Promotability," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(3), pages 714-747, March.
- Robert G. Nelson & David A. Bessler, 1989. "Subjective Probabilities and Scoring Rules: Experimental Evidence," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(2), pages 363-369.
- Charles A. Holt & Angela M. Smith, 2016. "Belief Elicitation with a Synchronized Lottery Choice Menu That Is Invariant to Risk Attitudes," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 110-139, February.
- Hillenbrand, Adrian & Schmelzer, André, 2017. "Beyond information: Disclosure, distracted attention, and investor behavior," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 14-21.
- Wang, Stephanie W., 2011. "Incentive effects: The case of belief elicitation from individuals in groups," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 30-33, April.
- Drerup, Tilman & Enke, Benjamin & von Gaudecker, Hans-Martin, 2017. "The precision of subjective data and the explanatory power of economic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(2), pages 378-389.
- Shane Frederick, 2005. "Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 25-42, Fall.
- Hossain, Tanjim & Okui, Ryo, 2024.
"Belief formation under signal correlation,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 160-183.
- Tanjim Hossain & Ryo Okui, 2019. "Belief Formation Under Signal Correlation," Working Paper Series no115, Institute of Economic Research, Seoul National University.
- Timothy N. Cason & Charles R. Plott, 2014. "Misconceptions and Game Form Recognition: Challenges to Theories of Revealed Preference and Framing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 122(6), pages 1235-1270.
- Zankiewicz, Christian & Schmidt, Tobias, 2016. "Binary Choice Belief Elicitation: An Adaptively Optimal Design," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145603, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Charness, Gary & Gneezy, Uri & Rasocha, Vlastimil, 2021. "Experimental methods: Eliciting beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 234-256.
- Canen, Nathan & Chakraborty, Anujit, 2023. "Belief elicitation in political protest experiments: When the mode does not teach us about incentives to protest," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 320-331.
- Erkal, Nisvan & Gangadharan, Lata & Koh, Boon Han, 2020. "Replication: Belief elicitation with quadratic and binarized scoring rules," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Folli, Dominik & Wolff, Irenaeus, 2022.
"Biases in belief reports,"
Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Bauer, Dominik & Wolff, Irenaeus, 2021. "Biases in Belief Reports," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242458, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joël Weele, 2015.
"A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(3), pages 457-490, September.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joel von der Weele, 2014. "A Penny for your Thoughts: A Survey of Methods of Eliciting Beliefs," Vienna Economics Papers vie1401, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Tilman H. Drerup & Matthias Wibral & Christian Zimpelmann, 2023.
"Skewness expectations and portfolio choice,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 26(1), pages 107-144, March.
- Drerup, Tilman & Wibral, Matthias & Zimpelmann, Christian, 2022. "Skewness Expectations and Portfolio Choice," IZA Discussion Papers 15018, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Tilman H. Drerup & Matthias Wibral & Christian Zimpelmann, 2022. "Skewness Expectations and Portfolio Choice," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2022_333, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Dominik Bauer & Irenaeus Wolff, 2018. "Biases in Beliefs: Experimental Evidence," TWI Research Paper Series 109, Thurgauer Wirtschaftsinstitut, Universität Konstanz.
- Bauer, Dominik & Wolff, Irenaeus, 2019. "Biases in Beliefs," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203601, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tamás Csermely & Alexander Rabas, 2016. "How to reveal people’s preferences: Comparing time consistency and predictive power of multiple price list risk elicitation methods," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 107-136, December.
- Lina Lozano & Ernesto Reuben, 2022. "Measuring Preferences for Competition," Working Papers 20220078, New York University Abu Dhabi, Department of Social Science, revised Aug 2022.
- Eyting, Markus & Schmidt, Patrick, 2021. "Belief elicitation with multiple point predictions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
- Drerup, Tilman & Enke, Benjamin & von Gaudecker, Hans-Martin, 2017. "The precision of subjective data and the explanatory power of economic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(2), pages 378-389.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joël Weele, 2015.
"A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(3), pages 457-490, September.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joel van der Weele, 2014. "A Penny for Your Thoughts:A Survey of Methods for Eliciting Beliefs," Vienna Economics Papers 1401, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Ingrid Burfurd & Tom Wilkening, 2022. "Cognitive heterogeneity and complex belief elicitation," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 25(2), pages 557-592, April.
- Aycinena, Diego & Bogliacino, Francesco & Kimbrough, Erik O., 2024.
"Measuring norms: Assessing the threat of social desirability bias to the Bicchieri and Xiao elicitation method,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 225-239.
- Bogliacino, Francesco & Aycinena, Diego & Kimbrough, Erik, 2024. "Measuring Norms: Assessing the threat of Social Desirability Bias to the Bicchieri and Xiao elicitation method," SocArXiv 7n4xd, Center for Open Science.
- Olga Shurchkov, 2013. "Coordination and learning in dynamic global games: experimental evidence," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 16(3), pages 313-334, September.
- Sofianos, Andis, 2022. "Self-reported & revealed trust: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Kai Barron, 2021.
"Belief updating: does the ‘good-news, bad-news’ asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(1), pages 31-58, March.
- Barron, Kai, 2021. "Belief updating: does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 24(1), pages 31-58.
- Barron, Kai, 2016. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2016-309, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Barron, Kai, 2019. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2016-309r, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, revised 2019.
- Barron, Kai, 2019. "Belief Updating: Does the \'Good-News, Bad-News\' Asymmetry Extend to Purely Financial Domains?," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 170, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Barron, Kai, 2020. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2016-309r2, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, revised 2020.
- Barron, Kai, 2018. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," MPRA Paper 84742, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Corazzini, Luca & Galavotti, Stefano & Valbonesi, Paola, 2019.
"An experimental study on sequential auctions with privately known capacities,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 289-315.
- Luca Corrazzini & Stefano Galavotti & Paola Valbonesi, 2017. "An Experimental Study on Sequential Auctions with Privately Known Capacities," Working Papers 2017:30, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Florian Engl & Arno Riedl & Roberto Weber, 2021.
"Spillover Effects of Institutions on Cooperative Behavior, Preferences, and Beliefs,"
American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 261-299, November.
- Engl, Florian & Riedl, Arno & Weber, Roberto A., 2017. "Spillover Effects of Institutions on Cooperative Behavior, Preferences and Beliefs," IZA Discussion Papers 10781, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Engl, Florian & Riedl, Arno & Weber, Roberto A., 2017. "Spillover Effects of Institutions on Cooperative Behavior, Preferences, and Beliefs," Research Memorandum 016, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Florian Engl & Arno Riedl & Roberto A. Weber, 2017. "Spillover Effects of Institutions on Cooperative Behavior, Preferences, and Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 6504, CESifo.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
- D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-EXP-2020-06-29 (Experimental Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:27327. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nberrus.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.