IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/nbr/nberwo/1875.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Theory and Measurement of Macroeconomic Disequilibrium in Centrally Planned Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Richard Portes

Abstract

The paper considers issues in recent research on macroeconomic equilibrium in centrally planned economies. I defend the explicit aggregative , macroeconomic approach in theory, institutional relationships and measurement. It has offered a fresh, coherent framework for analysis of many CPE phenomena, opened up a range of possibilities for empirical investigation, and generated several important spinoffs: work of planners' behavior, insights into CPE policy problems of the 1970s and early 1980s, which centred on macroeconomic equilibrium and threats to it; and some developments in market economy macro theory and econometrics. The quantity-rationing macro model and disequilibrium econometrics give a more useful as well as a more nuanced view of macroeconomic reality in CPEs than the conventional wisdom characterizing them as perpetual "shortage economies".

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Portes, 1986. "The Theory and Measurement of Macroeconomic Disequilibrium in Centrally Planned Economies," NBER Working Papers 1875, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1875
    Note: ITI IFM
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w1875.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:bla:econom:v:44:y:1977:i:174:p:109-29 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Jean-Pascal Benassy, 1975. "Neo-Keynesian Disequilibrium Theory in a Monetary Economy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 42(4), pages 503-523.
    3. Muellbauer, John & Portes, Richard, 1978. "Macroeconomic Models with Quantity Rationing," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 788-821, December.
    4. Wojciech Charemza & Richard E. Quandt, 1982. "Models and Estimation of Disequilibrium for Centrally Planned Economies," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 49(1), pages 109-116.
    5. J.-M. Grandmont & G. Laroque, 1977. "On Temporary Keynesian Equilibrium," International Economic Association Series, in: G. C. Harcourt (ed.), The Microeconomic Foundations of Macroeconomics, chapter 2, pages 41-61, Palgrave Macmillan.
    6. Thomas A. Wolf, 1985. "Economic Stabilization in Planned Economies: Toward an Analytical Framework (La stabilisation économique dans les économies planifiées: recherche d'un cadre d'analyse) (Estabilización económica e," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 32(1), pages 78-131, March.
    7. Hare, Paul G., 1982. "Economics of shortage and non-price control," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 406-425, December.
    8. Barro, Robert J & Grossman, Herschel I, 1971. "A General Disequilibrium Model of Income and Employment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 82-93, March.
    9. Howard, David H, 1976. "The Disequilibrium Model in a Controlled Economy: An Empirical Test of the Barro-Grossman Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 66(5), pages 871-879, December.
    10. Richard Portes & David Winter, 1980. "Disequilibrium Estimates for Consumption Goods Markets in Centrally Planned Economies," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 47(1), pages 137-159.
    11. Joyce Pickersgill, 1983. "Household Saving in the USSR," International Economic Association Series, in: Franco Modigliani & Richard Hemming (ed.), The Determinants of National Saving and Wealth, chapter 13, pages 272-285, Palgrave Macmillan.
    12. Gardner, Roy & Strauss, Jonathan, 1981. "Repressed inflation in the Soviet Union : A temporary equilibrium approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 387-404.
    13. Portes, Richard, 1981. "Macroeconomic Equilibrium and Disequilibrium in Centrally Planned Economies," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 19(4), pages 559-578, October.
    14. Portes, Richard & Winter, David, 1977. "The supply of consumption goods in centrally planned economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 351-365, December.
    15. Gourieroux, Christian & Laroque, Guy, 1985. "The Aggregation of Commodities in Quantity Rationing Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 26(3), pages 681-699, October.
    16. J. R. Turcan, 1977. "Some observations on retail distribution in Poland," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 128-136.
    17. Weinrich, G., 1984. "On the size of disequilibrium in a equilibrium with quantity rationing," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1984018, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    18. Pickersgill, Joyce E, 1976. "Soviet Household Saving Behavior," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 58(2), pages 139-147, May.
    19. Frederic L. Pryor, 1977. "Some Costs and Benefits of Markets: An Empirical Study," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 91(1), pages 81-102.
    20. Quandt, Richard E, 1978. "Tests of the Equilibrium vs. Disequilibrium Hypotheses," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 19(2), pages 435-452, June.
    21. Portes, Richard & Winter, David, 1978. "The Demand for Money and for Consumption Goods in Centrally Planned Economies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(1), pages 8-18, February.
    22. Reconciliation, A & Brada, Josef C., 1982. "Real and monetary approaches to foreign trade adjustment mechanisms in centrally planned economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 229-244.
    23. Robert J. Barro & Herschel I. Grossman, 1974. "Suppressed Inflation and the Supply Multiplier," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 41(1), pages 87-104.
    24. Katz, Barbara Goody, 1979. "The Disequilibrium Model in a Controlled Economy: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 721-725, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Byung Yeon, 1997. "Soviet Household Saving Function," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 30(2-3), pages 181-203.
    2. Portes, Richard & Santorum, Anita, 1987. "Money and the consumption goods market in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 354-371, September.
    3. Tsang, Shu-ki & Ma, Yue, 1997. "Simulating the impact of foreign capital in an open-economy macroeconomic model of China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 435-478, July.
    4. Lawrence R. Klein & Miroslaw Gronicki, 1990. "Conversion: The Trade-Off Between Military and Civilian Production in Warsaw Pact Countries," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 11(1), pages 45-56, February.
    5. Solimano, Andres, 1990. "Macroeconomic adjustment, stabilization, and growth in reforming socialist economies : analytical and policy issues," Policy Research Working Paper Series 399, The World Bank.
    6. Daniel Daianu & Lucian-Liviu Albu, "undated". "Strain and the Inflation - Unemployment Relationship: A Conceptual and Empirical Investigation," Ace Project Memoranda 96/15, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.
    7. Cevdet Denizer & Holger C. Wolf, 2000. "The Saving Collapse during the Transition in Eastern Europe," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 14(3), pages 445-455, September.
    8. J. Engwerda & G. Feichtinger & A. Sandmo & B. Fritsch & K. Laski & L. Podkaminer & E. Deutsch & G. Goldrian, 1990. "Book reviews," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 191-208, June.
    9. Erwin Nijsse & Elmer Sterken,, 1996. "Shortages, interest rates, and money demand in Poland, 1969-1995," Working Papers 25, Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen and University of Twente.
    10. Daniel Daianu, 1996. "Stabilization and exchange rate policy in Romania," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 4(1), pages 229-248, May.
    11. Salima Hamouche, 1993. "Contribution à l'étude du déséquilibre sur le marché algérien des biens de consommation," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 108(2), pages 63-74.
    12. Dic Lo & Guicai Li & Yingquan Jiang, 2011. "Financial governance and economic development: making sense of the Chinese experience," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(258), pages 267-286.
    13. Mokhtari, M., 1996. "Savings under quantity constraints: what can we learn from former Soviet families?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 561-582, October.
    14. Guisan, Maria-Carmen & Aguayo, Eva & Carballas, David, 2004. "Economic Growth and Cycles in Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia: A comparison with Spain, Austria and other EU countries, 1950-2002," Economic Development 79, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Richard Portes, 1981. "Central Planning and Monetarism: Fellow Travelers?," NBER Working Papers 0782, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Robert Mulligan & Erwin Nijsse, 2001. "Shortage and currency substitution in transition economies: Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, and Romania," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 7(3), pages 275-295, August.
    3. Erwin Nijsse & Elmer Sterken,, 1996. "Shortages, interest rates, and money demand in Poland, 1969-1995," Working Papers 25, Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen and University of Twente.
    4. Portes, Richard, et al, 1987. "Macroeconomic Planning and Disequilibrium: Estimates for Poland, 1955-1980," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 19-41, January.
    5. Sneessens, Henri R., 1992. "Contraintes de débouchés, capacités de production et chômage dans un modèle macroéconomique avec concurrence imparfaite," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 68(1), pages 140-174, mars et j.
    6. Michel De Vroey, 2004. "Théorie du déséquilibre et chômage involontaire. Un examen critique," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 55(4), pages 647-668.
    7. Jean-Pascal Benassy, 1976. "Théorie du déséquilibre et fondements micro-économiques de la macroéconomie," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 27(5), pages 755-804.
    8. M. Scattaglia, 1994. "Politiche per l'occupazione e Microfondamenti "Keynesiani" dell'economia del lavoro," Working Papers 196, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    9. Benassy, Jean-Pascal, 1993. "Nonclearing Markets: Microeconomic Concepts and Macroeconomic Applications," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 732-761, June.
    10. Plassard, Romain & Renault, Matthieu, 2023. "General equilibrium models with rationing: The making of a ‘European specialty’," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    11. Plassard, Romain, 2022. "Diagnosing unemployment: the dual project of the ENSAE's band," MPRA Paper 113584, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Seppo Honkapohja & Takatoshi Ito, 1979. "A Stochastic Approach to Disequilibrium Macroeconomics," NBER Technical Working Papers 0001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Benassy, Jean-Pascal, 1990. "Non-Walrasian equilibria, money, and macroeconomics," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: B. M. Friedman & F. H. Hahn (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 103-169, Elsevier.
    14. Mokhtari, M., 1996. "Savings under quantity constraints: what can we learn from former Soviet families?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 561-582, October.
    15. Conway, Patrick & Gelb, Alan, 1988. "Oil windfalls in a controlled economy : A fix-price equilibrium analysis of Algeria," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 63-81, February.
    16. J. Peter Neary & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1979. "Towards A Reconstruction of Keynesian Economics: Expectations and Constrained Equilibria," NBER Working Papers 0376, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Ogawa, Shogo, 2022. "Survey of non-Walrasian disequilibrium economic theory," MPRA Paper 115011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Ogawa, Shogo, 2022. "Monetary growth with disequilibrium: A non-Walrasian baseline model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 512-528.
    19. Antoine Mandel & Vipin Veetil, 2020. "The Economic Cost of COVID Lockdowns: An Out-of-Equilibrium Analysis," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 431-451, October.
    20. Thomas L Bradley & Paul B Eberle, 2023. "Purchasing Power Parity In Russia And The Transitioning Economy 1990-1995," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 31, pages 85-111, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1875. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nberrus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.