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Natural Disasters, Firm Survival and Growth: Evidence from the Ise Bay Typhoon, Japan

Author

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  • Toshihiro Okubo

    (Faculty of Economics, Keio University)

  • Eric Strobl

    (Department of Economics, Bern University)

Abstract

This paper investigates the damage impact of the 1959 Ise Bay Typhoon-the most destructive storm in Japanese history-on firm performance in Nagoya City. To this end, we combine firm-level data with a locally derived damage index measured in terms of the duration of storm surge-induced flooding. We find heterogeneous impacts of flood damage across firms and sectors. More specifically, older manufacturing firms tend to survive and, conditional on survival, longer time inundation moderated their employment and sales growth, but also promoted capital growth, suggesting investment in new machinery and facilities. In contrast, employment growth increased in the construction sector to satisfy the construction demand for rebuilding after the supertyphoon.

Suggested Citation

  • Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2020. "Natural Disasters, Firm Survival and Growth: Evidence from the Ise Bay Typhoon, Japan," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2020-005, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    • Handle: RePEc:keo:dpaper:2020-005
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    Cited by:

    1. Pan, Changchun & Huang, Yuzhe & Jin, Long, 2024. "Natural disasters and corporate tax burden: Evidence from chinese energy sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    2. Hayato Kato & Toshihiro Okubo, 2022. "The Resilience of FDI to Natural Disasters Through Industrial Linkages," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(1), pages 177-225, May.
    3. Ilan Noy & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl & Thomas Tveit, 2023. "The fiscal costs of earthquakes in Japan," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(5), pages 1225-1250, October.
    4. Meltzer, Rachel & Ellen, Ingrid Gould & Li, Xiaodi, 2021. "Localized commercial effects from natural disasters: The case of Hurricane Sandy and New York City," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    5. Tetsuji Okazaki & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2024. "The Bright and Dark Sides of a Central Bank's Financial Support to Local Banks after a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the Great Kanto Earthquake, 1923 Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1439-1477, September.
    6. Tetsuji Okazaki & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2023. "Large Fires and the Rise of Fire Insurance in Pre-war Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1220, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    7. Adachi, Daisuke & Nakata, Hiroyuki & Sawada, Yasuyuki & Sekiguchi, Kunio, 2023. "Adverse selection and moral hazard in corporate insurance markets: Evidence from the 2011 Thailand floods," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 376-386.
    8. Apurba Roy & Ilan Noy, 2023. "Impact of extratropical cyclones, floods, and wildfires on firms’ financial performance in New Zealand," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 25(4), pages 493-574, October.
    9. Tetsuji Okazaki & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2020. "The Bright and Dark Side of Financial Support from Local and Central Banks after a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the Great Kanto Earthquake, 1923 Japan," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2020-001, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    10. Alves, Pedro Jorge & Lima, Ricardo Carvalho de Andrade & Emanuel, Lucas, 2022. "Natural disasters and establishment performance: Evidence from the 2011 Rio de Janeiro Landslides," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    11. Apurba, Roy & Ilan, Noy & Harold E., Cuffe, 2021. "Income and Extratropical Cyclones in New Zealand," Working Paper Series 21117, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    12. Ismail Demirdag & Anang Widhi Nirwansyah, 2024. "Beyond disaster: investigating the varied responses of regional entrepreneurship to natural disasters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(11), pages 10413-10440, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Typhoon; Flood; Firm survival; Firm growth; Nagoya city;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance

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