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Capital Account Policies, IMF Programs and Growth in Developing Regions

Author

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  • Bicaba, Zorobabel

    (African Development Bank)

  • Brixiova, Zuzana

    (UNECA)

  • Ncube, Mthuli

    (University of Oxford)

Abstract

This paper develops an adaptive learning model under uncertainty that examines evolution of capital account polices over time and across developing regions. In the framework, countries' past experiences and IMF programs influence policymakers' beliefs about the impact of capital account liberalization on growth, under the 'Mundell's trilemma constraint. The model, calibrated to data for Africa, Latin America and developing Asia, reflects relatively well capital account policies adopted in 1980-2010. It shows that even more developed countries with liberalized capital accounts may revert to controls under large output shocks. The outcomes of capital account switches are better and closer to policymakers' expectations in countries with the IMF programs, underscoring the role of complementarity of policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Bicaba, Zorobabel & Brixiova, Zuzana & Ncube, Mthuli, 2015. "Capital Account Policies, IMF Programs and Growth in Developing Regions," IZA Discussion Papers 8774, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp8774
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    adaptive learning; dynamics of capital account policies; growth; IMF programs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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