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A Longitudinal Analysis of Moving Desires, Expectations and Actual Moving Behaviour

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  • Coulter, Rory

    (University of Cambridge)

  • van Ham, Maarten

    (Delft University of Technology)

  • Feijten, Peteke

    (University of St. Andrews)

Abstract

Many theories of residential mobility contend that individuals express a sequence of moving desires, intentions and expectations prior to moving. Much research has investigated how individuals form these pre-move thoughts, with a largely separate literature examining actual mobility. Only a few studies have attempted to link pre-move thoughts to subsequent actual moves, but these often do not explicitly distinguish between different types and combinations of pre-move thoughts. Using 1998-2006 British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) data, this study is the first to investigate whether moving desires and expectations are empirically distinct pre-move thoughts. Using multinomial regression models we demonstrate that moving desires and expectations have different meanings, and often occur in combination: the factors associated with expecting to move differ depending upon whether the move is also desired (and vice versa). Next, using panel logistic regression models, we show that different desire-expectation combinations have different effects on the probability of subsequent moving behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Coulter, Rory & van Ham, Maarten & Feijten, Peteke, 2010. "A Longitudinal Analysis of Moving Desires, Expectations and Actual Moving Behaviour," IZA Discussion Papers 5277, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp5277
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sergi Vidal & Johannes Huinink, 2019. "Introduction to the special collection on spatial mobility, family dynamics, and gender relations," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(21), pages 593-616.
    2. Ad Coenen & Pieter-Paul Verhaeghe & Bart Van de Putte, 2019. "Ethnic Residential Segregation: A Family Matter? An Integration of Household Composition Characteristics into the Residential Segregation Literature," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(5), pages 1023-1052, December.
    3. Coulter, Rory & van Ham, Maarten & Findlay, Allan M., 2013. "New Directions for Residential Mobility Research: Linking Lives through Time and Space," IZA Discussion Papers 7525, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Aude Bernard & Sunganani Kalemba, 2022. "Internal migration and the de-standardization of the life course: A sequence analysis of reasons for migrating," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(12), pages 337-354.
    5. Martin Abraham & Sebastian Bähr & Mark Trappmann, 2019. "Gender differences in willingness to move for interregional job offers," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 40(53), pages 1537-1602.
    6. Jonne A. K. Thomassen & Isabel Palomares-Linares & Viktor A. Venhorst & Clara H. Mulder, 2023. "Local Ties as Self-Reported Constraints to Internal Migration in Spain," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 39(1), pages 1-37, December.
    7. Stone, Wendy & Rowley, Steven & James, Amity & Parkinson, Sharon & Spinney, Angela & reynolds, margaret & Levin, Iris & Huang, Donna, 2020. "Mid-life Australians and the housing aspirations gap," SocArXiv czgfn, Center for Open Science.
    8. Yali Li & Ni Yan & Haifan Cheng & Jing Luo & Zhengxu Zhou, 2024. "Hesitant or determined? The influence of social and environmental factors on settlement decision-making of rural in-migrants: evidence from Dali, China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Bonakdar, Said Benjamin & Roos, Michael W. M., 2021. "Dissimilarity effects on house prices: What is the value of similar neighbours?," Ruhr Economic Papers 894, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    10. Coulter, Rory & van Ham, Maarten, 2011. "Contextualised Mobility Histories of Moving Desires and Actual Moving Behaviour," IZA Discussion Papers 6146, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    11. Hill Kulu & Júlia Mikolai & Michael J. Thomas & Sergi Vidal & Christine Schnor & Didier Willaert & Fieke H. L. Visser & Clara H. Mulder, 2021. "Separation and Elevated Residential Mobility: A Cross-Country Comparison," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 121-150, March.
    12. Ad Coenen & Pieter-Paul Verhaeghe & Bart Van de Putte, 2018. "Should I stay or should I go? The association between upward socio-economic neighbourhood change and moving propensities," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 50(2), pages 370-390, March.
    13. Boschman, Sanne & Kleinhans, Reinout & van Ham, Maarten, 2014. "Ethnic Differences in Realising Desires to Leave the Neighbourhood," IZA Discussion Papers 8461, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Knut Petzold, 2020. "Migration, Commuting, or a Second Home? Insights from an Experiment Among Academics," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 36(2), pages 277-315, April.
    15. Aude Bernard & Francisco Perales, 2021. "Is Migration a Learned Behavior? Understanding the Impact of Past Migration on Future Migration," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 47(2), pages 449-474, June.
    16. Taesoo Song & Up Lim, 2021. "The Effects of Mobility Expectation on Community Attachment: A Multilevel Model Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-16, March.
    17. Wilson, C. & Pettifor, H. & Chryssochoidis, G., 2018. "Quantitative modelling of why and how homeowners decide to renovate energy efficiently," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1333-1344.
    18. Philipp M Lersch & Wilfred Uunk, 2017. "The shadow of future homeownership: the association of wanting to move into homeownership with labour supply," Work, Employment & Society, British Sociological Association, vol. 31(3), pages 522-541, June.
    19. Hagedoorn, Paulien & Helbich, Marco, 2022. "Longitudinal effects of physical and social neighbourhood change on suicide mortality: A full population cohort study among movers and non-movers in the Netherlands," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    20. Seabra, Deborah Maria da Silva & Azzoni, Carlos Roberto, 2023. "It is all about social norms: Gender differences incommuting times in Brazilian cities," Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER), vol. 17(2), pages 155-187.
    21. Beata Nowok & Allan Findlay & David McCollum, 2018. "Linking residential relocation desires and behaviour with life domain satisfaction," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(4), pages 870-890, March.
    22. Yang Hu & Rory Coulter, 2017. "Living space and psychological well-being in urban China: Differentiated relationships across socio-economic gradients," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 49(4), pages 911-929, April.
    23. Ilka Steiner, 2019. "Settlement or Mobility? Immigrants’ Re-migration Decision-Making Process in a High-Income Country Setting," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 223-245, February.
    24. Kerilyn Schewel & Sonja Fransen, 2018. "Formal Education and Migration Aspirations in Ethiopia," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 44(3), pages 555-587, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    moving expectations; moving desires; longitudinal data; satisfaction; residential mobility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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