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Does conditionality in IMF-supported programs promote revenue reform?

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  • Ernesto Crivelli
  • Mr. Sanjeev Gupta

Abstract

This paper studies whether revenue conditionality in Fund-supported programs had any impact on the revenue performance of 126 low- and middle-income countries during 1993-2013. The results indicate that such conditionality had a positive impact on tax revenue, with strongest improvement felt on taxes on goods and services, including the VAT. Revenue conditionality matters more for low-income countries, particularly those where revenue ratios are below the group average. Moreover, revenue conditionality appears to be more effective when targeted to a specific tax. These results hold after controlling for potential endogeneity, sample selection bias, and when revenues are adjusted for economic cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernesto Crivelli & Mr. Sanjeev Gupta, 2014. "Does conditionality in IMF-supported programs promote revenue reform?," IMF Working Papers 2014/206, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/206
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    Cited by:

    1. Guimarães, Bernardo de Vasconcellos & Ladeira, Carlos Eduardo de Almeida, 2015. "The determinants of IMF fiscal conditionalities: economics or politics?," Textos para discussão 391, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    2. Mr. Bernardin Akitoby & Mr. Jiro Honda & Hiroaki Miyamoto & Keyra Primus & Mouhamadou Sy, 2019. "Case Studies in Tax Revenue Mobilization in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2019/104, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Mr. Bernardin Akitoby & Ms. Anja Baum & Clay Hackney & Olamide Harrison & Keyra Primus & Ms. Veronique Salins, 2018. "Tax Revenue Mobilization Episodes in Emerging Markets and Low-Income Countries: Lessons from a New Dataset," IMF Working Papers 2018/234, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Committeri, Marco & L´Hotellerie-Fallois, Pilar & Algarra, Monica & Balteanu, Irina & Eijking, Carlijn & Estefanía, Julia & Gallego, Sonsoles & Garelli, Serena & Gibson, Heather & Heinbuecher, Robert , 2019. "Conditionality and design of IMF-supported programmes," Occasional Paper Series 235, European Central Bank.
    5. Dr. Darlena Tartari & Dr. Albi Tola, 2019. "Does the IMF Program Implementation Matter for Sovereign Spreads? The Case of Selected European Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2019-01, Swiss National Bank.
    6. Zsóka Kóczán, 2016. "Fiscal policy, business cycles and discretion: evidence from the Western Balkans," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 468-486, October.
    7. Jean-Louis Combes & Rasmané Ouedraogo & Mr. Sampawende J Tapsoba, 2016. "What Does Aid Do to Fiscal Policy? New Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2016/112, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Irina Andone & Beatrice D. Scheubel, 2017. "Memorable Encounters? Own and Neighbours' Experience with IMF Conditionality and IMF Stigma," CESifo Working Paper Series 6399, CESifo.

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