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New Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium

Author

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  • Mr. Alessandro Rebucci
  • Mr. Akito Matsumoto
  • Pietro Cova
  • Massimiliano Pisani

Abstract

We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy. As West (1988) shows, in a partial equilibrium present discounted value model, news about the future cash flow reduces asset price volatility. We show that introducing news shocks in a canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the asset cash flow itself may be affected by the introduction of news shocks. In addition, we show that neglecting to account for policy news shocks (e.g., policy announcements) can potentially bias empirical estimates of the impact of monetary policy shocks on asset prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Alessandro Rebucci & Mr. Akito Matsumoto & Pietro Cova & Massimiliano Pisani, 2011. "New Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium," IMF Working Papers 2011/110, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chao Gu & Han Han & Randall Wright, 2020. "The Effects Of News When Liquidity Matters," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1411-1435, November.
    2. Danilo Cascaldi‐Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2021. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 779-811, June.
    3. Dongho Song & Jenny Tang, 2023. "News-Driven Uncertainty Fluctuations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 968-982, July.
    4. Chao Gu & Han Han & Randall Wright, 2016. "The Effects of Monetary Policy and Other Announcements," Working Papers 1621, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    5. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2014. "News-Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(4), pages 993-1074, December.
    6. Kersting, Stefan & Hüttel, Silke & Odening, Martin, 2015. "Structural change in agriculture under capacity constraints: An equilibrium approach," Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory 140, University of Rostock, Institute of Economics.
    7. Jian Wang, 2014. "Understanding Trade, Exchange Rates and International Capital Flows," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 10-15.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; monetary policy; interest rate; money supply; New shocks; Equity Prices; Productivity; Asset Price; volatility; news shock; equity price; price volatility; monetary policy shock; productivity shock; discount factor; Asset prices; Futures; Stocks; Monetary base;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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