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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Latin American economies to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties.

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  • International Monetary Fund, 2009. "Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model," IMF Working Papers 2009/085, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2009/085
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    Cited by:

    1. Salas, Jorge, 2010. "Bayesian Estimation of a Simple Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy," Working Papers 2010-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    2. Snudden, Stephen, 2016. "Cyclical fiscal rules for oil-exporting countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 473-483.
    3. Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard & Mr. Kenji Moriyama, 2011. "Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt: Spillovers, Inflation Dynamics, and Implications for Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2011/108, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Javier Gómez-Pineda & Mr. Dominique M. Guillaume & Kadir Tanyeri, 2015. "Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices," IMF Working Papers 2015/165, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Salas, Jorge, 2011. "Estimación bayesiana de unmodelo de pequeña economía abierta con dolarización parcial," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 22, pages 41-62.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Weathering the Global Storm: The Benefits of Monetary Policy Reform in the LA5 Countries," IMF Working Papers 2010/292, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Sámano Daniel, 2011. "In the Quest of Macroprudential Policy Tools," Working Papers 2011-17, Banco de México.
    8. Salas, Jorge, 2009. "¿Qué explica las fluctuaciones de la inflación en el Perú en el periodo 2002-2008? Evidencia de un análisis VAR estructural," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 16, pages 9-36.
    9. Ioan Carabenciov & Charles Freedman & Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Mr. Petar Manchev, 2013. "GPM6: The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions," IMF Working Papers 2013/087, International Monetary Fund.
    10. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Chile: Selected Issues Paper," IMF Staff Country Reports 2010/299, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Leandro Medina & Mr. Nicolas E Magud, 2011. "The Chilean Output Gap," IMF Working Papers 2011/002, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Ruperto MAJUCA, 2013. "Managing Economic Shocks and Macroeconomic Coordination in an Integrated Region: ASEAN Beyond 2015," Working Papers DP-2013-18, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).

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    Keywords

    WP; exchange rate; interest rate;
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