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Tax Systems Under Fiscal Adjustment: A Dynamic CGE Analysis of the Brazilian Tax Reform

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  • Victor Duarte Lledo

Abstract

This paper uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model (CGE) to analyze the macroeconomic and redistributive effects of replacing turnover and financial transaction taxes in Brazil by a consumption tax. In order to approximate Brazil's compliance with its fiscal adjustment targets, the proposed reform is subject to a non increasing path for the level of public debt. Despite an increase in the average consumption tax rate in the first years after the reform, a majority of individuals experienced an increase in their lifetime welfare. This result rejects the hypothesis that the on-going fiscal adjustment effort carried on by the Brazilian government was an obstacle to the implementation of a more efficient tax system.

Suggested Citation

  • Victor Duarte Lledo, 2005. "Tax Systems Under Fiscal Adjustment: A Dynamic CGE Analysis of the Brazilian Tax Reform," IMF Working Papers 2005/142, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2005/142
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    2. Moura, Fabio Rodrigues de & Paes, Nelson Leitão & Farias, Tácito Augusto, 2014. "O Impacto do Tempo de Pendência das Patentes na Trajetória de Crescimento: Uma Análise com Base no Modelo Schumpeteriano de Crescimento Endógeno com Avanço de Qualidade," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(1), April.
    3. de Souza Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento & Bacha, Carlos José Caetano & Regazzini, Leonardo Coviello, 2021. "Tax exemption in Brazil in 2009: why vehicles and not agriculture? An interregional general equilibrium analysis," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    4. Pereira, Ricardo A. de Castro & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti, 2010. "Avaliação dos Impactos Macro-Econômicos e de Bem-Estar da Reforma Tributária no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(2), June.
    5. Tourinho, Octavio Augusto Fontes & Alves, Yann Le Boulluec & Silva, Napoleão Luiz Costa da, 2010. "Implicações Econômicas da Reforma Tributária: Análise com um Modelo CGE," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(3), September.
    6. Honkatukia, Juha & Tamminen, Saara, 2012. "What is the Price of Austerity? – A Dynamic AGE-analysis for Finland," Conference papers 332274, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Costa Junior, Celso José & Sampaio, Armando Vaz, 2014. "Tax Reduction Policies of the Productive Sector and Its Impacts on Brazilian Economy," Dynare Working Papers 36, CEPREMAP.
    8. repec:fgv:epgrbe:v:68:n:1:a:6 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Honkatukia, Juha & Dixon, Peter & Rimmer, Maureen & Tamminen, Saara, 2013. "The Costs of Fiscal Thrift," Conference papers 330255, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer & Ivanna Vladkova Hollar, 2008. "Fiscal Positions in Latin America: Have They Really Improved?," IMF Working Papers 2008/137, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Dixon, Peter & Honkatukia, Juha & Rimmer, Maureen, 2012. "The Marginal Cost of Funds from Different Taxes in Finland – An AGE evaluation," Conference papers 332273, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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