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Let's get LADE: robust estimation of semiparametric multiplicative volatility models

Author

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  • Bonsoo Koo

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies)

  • Oliver Linton

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and University of Cambridge)

Abstract

We investigate a model in which we connect slowly time varying unconditional long-run volatility with short-run conditional volatility whose representation is given as a semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process with heavy tailed errors. We focus on robust estimation of both long-run and short-run volatilities. Our estimation is semiparamentric since the long-run volatility is totally unspecified whereas the short-run conditional volatility is a parametric semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process. We propose different robust estimation methods for nonstationary and strictly stationary GARCH parameters with non-parametric long-run volatility function. Our estimation is based on a two-step LAD procedure. We establish the relevant asymptotic theory of the proposed estimators. Numerical results lend support to our theoretical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Bonsoo Koo & Oliver Linton, 2013. "Let's get LADE: robust estimation of semiparametric multiplicative volatility models," CeMMAP working papers CWP11/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:11/13
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    File URL: http://www.cemmap.ac.uk/wps/cwp111313.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huang, Da & Wang, Hansheng & Yao, Qiwei, 2008. "Estimating GARCH models: when to use what?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 5398, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Juan Rodríguez-Poo & Oliver Linton, 2001. "Nonparametric factor analysis of residual time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 10(1), pages 161-182, June.
    3. VAN BELLEGEM, Sébastien, 2011. "Locally stationary volatility modelling," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011041, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    4. Da Huang & Hansheng Wang & Qiwei Yao, 2008. "Estimating GARCH models: when to use what?," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(1), pages 27-38, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Niklas Ahlgren & Alexander Back & Timo Terasvirta, 2024. "A new GARCH model with a deterministic time-varying intercept," Papers 2410.03239, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    2. David T. Frazier & Bonsoo Koo, 2020. "Indirect Inference for Locally Stationary Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 30/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    3. Koo, B. & La Vecchia, D. & Linton, O., 2019. "Nonparametric Recovery of the Yield Curve Evolution from Cross-Section and Time Series Information," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1916, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Koo, Bonsoo & La Vecchia, Davide & Linton, Oliver, 2021. "Estimation of a nonparametric model for bond prices from cross-section and time series information," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 562-588.

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