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How People Vote in Contests: New Findings from Immortal Songs 2

Author

Listed:
  • Beomsoo Kim

    (Department of Economics, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea)

  • Sang Soo Park

    (Department of Economics, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea)

  • Yang Zhao

    (Department of Economics, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea)

Abstract

Many important contests, such as job interviews and political debates, are presented in sequential order. Previous studies find serial position effects such that the later presenter has a higher probability of a win. However, no previous studies use both random assignments of contestants and a large number of contestants and judges. We use Immortal Songs 2, a popular TV program that satisfies both conditions, to confirm the findings of serial position effects. In addition, Immortal Songs 2 has round-by-round competition rules. The first round is a competition between the first and second contestants. Then, the winner of the first round is announced. The second round is a contest between the winner of the first round and the third contestant. As the rounds continue, the winner of the previous round should have a higher probability of winning in theory, but, in fact, the second contestant¡¯s probability of winning is always 0.5.

Suggested Citation

  • Beomsoo Kim & Sang Soo Park & Yang Zhao, 2019. "How People Vote in Contests: New Findings from Immortal Songs 2," Discussion Paper Series 1902, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    • Handle: RePEc:iek:wpaper:1902
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    File URL: http://econ.korea.ac.kr/~ri/WorkingPapers/w1902.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Page, Lionel & Page, Katie, 2010. "Last shall be first: A field study of biases in sequential performance evaluation on the Idol series," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 186-198, February.
    2. Herbert Glejser & Bruno Heyndels, 2001. "Efficiency and Inefficiency in the Ranking in Competitions: the Case of the Queen Elisabeth Music Contest," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 25(2), pages 109-129, May.
    3. Collins, Alan & McKenzie, Jordi & Vaughan Williams, Leighton, 2019. "When is a talent contest not a talent contest? Sequential performance bias in expert evaluation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 94-98.
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    Cited by:

    1. Byunghwan Son, 2024. "Foreign pop-culture and backlash: the case of non-fan K-pop Subreddits during the pandemic," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 48(1), pages 117-143, March.
    2. Budzinski, Oliver & Gänßle, Sophia & Weimar, Daniel, 2023. "Disentangling individual biases in jury voting: An empirical analysis of voting behavior in the Eurovision Song Contest," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 171, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    preference; serial position effects; step-by-step; momentary fairness bias;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making

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