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Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit zum 1. Mai 2011: Mehr Chancen als Risiken für Deutschland (The free movement of labour: More benefits than risks for Germany)

Author

Listed:
  • Baas, Timo

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Brücker, Herbert

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"Based on an econometric model the report finds that net migration from the 8 New Member States which joined the EU in May 1 2004 into the EU-15 will amount to about 230.000 persons p.a. in the next years. Between 45 and 60 per cent of those will move to Germany, which equals between 100,000 and 140,000 persons p.a. The migration will increase the GDP per capita and welfare in Germany. The labour market effects are modest: The cumulative migration between 2011 and 2020 will reduce wages by 0.28 and 0.4 percent and increase unemployment by 0.14 and 0.2 percentage points, in the long-term the effects are neutral." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Baas, Timo & Brücker, Herbert, 2011. "Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit zum 1. Mai 2011: Mehr Chancen als Risiken für Deutschland (The free movement of labour: More benefits than risks for Germany)," IAB-Kurzbericht 201110, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabkbe:201110
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    File URL: https://doku.iab.de/kurzber/2011/kb1011.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brücker, Herbert & Siliverstovs, Boriss, 2006. "Estimating and forecasting European migration : methods, problems and results," Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 39(1), pages 35-56.
    2. Tito Boeri & Herbert Brücker, 2001. "Eastern Enlargement and EU Labour Markets," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 2(1), pages 49-68, January.
    3. Brücker, Herbert & Siliverstovs, Boriss, 2006. "Estimating and forecasting European migration : methods, problems and results," Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 39(1), pages 35-56.
    4. Brücker, Herbert & Siliverstovs, Boriss, 2006. "Estimating and forecasting European migration : methods, problems and results," Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 39(1), pages 35-56.
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