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Efficiency In Housing Markets: Do Home Buyers Know How To Discount?

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  • Hjalmarsson, Erik

    (Division of International Finance, Federal Reserve Board)

  • Hjalmarsson, Randi

    (University of Maryland, School of Public Policy)

Abstract

We test for efficiency in the market for Swedish co-ops by examining the negative relationship between the sales price and the present value of future rents. If the co-op housing market is efficient, the present value of co-op rental payments due to underlying debt obligations of the cooperative should be fully reflected in the sales price. However, we find that, on average, a one hundred kronor increase in the present value of future rents only leads to a 45 to 65 kronor reduction in the sales price; co-ops with higher rents are thus relatively overpriced compared to those with lower rents. Our analysis indicates that pricing tends to be more efficient in areas with higher educated and wealthier buyers. By relying on cross-sectional relationships in the data, our results are less sensitive to transaction costs and other frictions than time-series tests of housing market efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Hjalmarsson, Erik & Hjalmarsson, Randi, 2006. "Efficiency In Housing Markets: Do Home Buyers Know How To Discount?," Working Papers in Economics 232, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0232
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Khalid Sekkat & Ariane Szafarz, 2011. "Valuing Homeownership," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 491-504, November.
    2. Karl Robertsen & Theis Theisen, 2011. "The Impact of Financial Arrangements and Institutional Form on Housing Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 371-392, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing markets; Market efficiency; Cooperative housing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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