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A Simple Test on Structural Change in Long-Memory Time Series

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  • Wenger, Kai
  • Leschinski, Christian
  • Sibbertsen, Philipp

Abstract

We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid if the memory is estimated consistently under the null hypothesis. Therefore, the well-known CUSUM test can be used on the differenced data without any further modification. In a simulation study, we compare our test with a CUSUM test on structural change that is specifically constructed for long-memory time series and show that our approach performs well.

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  • Wenger, Kai & Leschinski, Christian & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2017. "A Simple Test on Structural Change in Long-Memory Time Series," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-592, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    • Handle: RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-592
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    Cited by:

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    2. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    3. Wingert, Simon & Mboya, Mwasi Paza & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2020. "Distinguishing between breaks in the mean and breaks in persistence under long memory," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
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    5. Dooruj Rambaccussing & Murat Mazibas, 2020. "True versus Spurious Long Memory in Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-11, August.
    6. Richard T. Baillie & Fabio Calonaci & Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2019. "Long Memory, Realized Volatility and HAR Models," Working Papers 881, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fractional Integration; Structural Breaks; Long Memory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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