IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/hal-03902513.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Abi Jaber

    (CMAP - Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées de l'Ecole polytechnique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Camille Illand

    (AXA Investment Managers, Multi Asset Client Solutions, Quantitative Research - AXA)

  • Shaun Xiaoyuan Li

    (UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, AXA Investment Managers, Multi Asset Client Solutions, Quantitative Research - AXA)

Abstract

We consider the joint SPX-VIX calibration within a general class of Gaussian polynomial volatility models in which the volatility of the SPX is assumed to be a polynomial function of a Gaussian Volterra process defined as a stochastic convolution between a kernel and a Brownian motion. By performing joint calibration to daily SPX-VIX implied volatility surface data between 2012 and 2022, we compare the empirical performance of different kernels and their associated Markovian and non-Markovian models, such as rough and non-rough pathdependent volatility models. In order to ensure an efficient calibration and a fair comparison between the models, we develop a generic unified method in our class of models for fast and accurate pricing of SPX and VIX derivatives based on functional quantization and Neural Networks. For the first time, we identify a conventional one-factor Markovian continuous stochastic volatility model that is able to achieve remarkable fits of the implied volatility surfaces of the SPX and VIX together with the term structure of VIX futures. What is even more remarkable is that our conventional one-factor Markovian continuous stochastic volatility model outperforms, in all market conditions, its rough and non-rough path-dependent counterparts with the same number of parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Working Papers hal-03902513, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03902513
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03902513
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-03902513/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stéphane Goutte & Amine Ismail & Huyên Pham, 2017. "Regime-switching stochastic volatility model: estimation and calibration to VIX options," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 38-75, January.
    2. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Working Papers hal-03827332, HAL.
    3. Thomas Kokholm & Martin Stisen, 2015. "Joint pricing of VIX and SPX options with stochastic volatility and jump models," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 16(1), pages 27-48, January.
    4. Harms, Philipp & Stefanovits, David, 2019. "Affine representations of fractional processes with applications in mathematical finance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(4), pages 1185-1228.
    5. Jan Baldeaux & Alexander Badran, 2014. "Consistent Modelling of VIX and Equity Derivatives Using a 3/2 plus Jumps Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 299-312, September.
    6. Christian Bayer & Peter K. Friz & Paul Gassiat & Jorg Martin & Benjamin Stemper, 2020. "A regularity structure for rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 782-832, July.
    7. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Working Papers hal-02946146, HAL.
    8. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2018. "Lifting the Heston model," Papers 1810.04868, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    9. J.-P. Fouque & Y. F. Saporito, 2018. "Heston stochastic vol-of-vol model for joint calibration of VIX and S&P 500 options," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 1003-1016, June.
    10. Rama Cont & Thomas Kokholm, 2013. "A Consistent Pricing Model For Index Options And Volatility Derivatives," Post-Print hal-00801536, HAL.
    11. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2019. "Lifting the Heston model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(12), pages 1995-2013, December.
    12. Christian Bayer & Fabian Andsem Harang & Paolo Pigato, 2020. "Log-modulated rough stochastic volatility models," Papers 2008.03204, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    13. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Post-Print hal-02946146, HAL.
    14. Qinwen Zhu & Gregoire Loeper & Wen Chen & Nicolas Langrené, 2021. "Markovian approximation of the rough Bergomi model for Monte Carlo option pricing," Working Papers hal-02910724, HAL.
    15. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2019. "Lifting the Heston model," Post-Print hal-01890751, HAL.
    16. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Omar El Euch, 2019. "Multi-factor approximation of rough volatility models," Post-Print hal-01697117, HAL.
    17. Andrew Papanicolaou & Ronnie Sircar, 2014. "A regime-switching Heston model for VIX and S&P 500 implied volatilities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(10), pages 1811-1827, October.
    18. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Papers 2210.12393, arXiv.org.
    19. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-02946146, HAL.
    20. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2020. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Papers 2009.10972, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    21. Stéphane Goutte & Amine Ismail & Huyên Pham, 2017. "Regime-switching Stochastic Volatility Model : Estimation and Calibration to VIX options," Working Papers hal-01212018, HAL.
    22. Blanka Horvath & Aitor Muguruza & Mehdi Tomas, 2021. "Deep learning volatility: a deep neural network perspective on pricing and calibration in (rough) volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 11-27, January.
    23. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 733-769, October.
    24. Ryan McCrickerd & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2018. "Turbocharging Monte Carlo pricing for the rough Bergomi model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(11), pages 1877-1886, November.
    25. Omar El Euch & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "The characteristic function of rough Heston models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 3-38, January.
    26. Qinwen Zhu & Grégoire Loeper & Wen Chen & Nicolas Langrené, 2021. "Markovian Approximation of the Rough Bergomi Model for Monte Carlo Option Pricing," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-21, March.
    27. Lech A. Grzelak, 2022. "On Randomization of Affine Diffusion Processes with Application to Pricing of Options on VIX and S&P 500," Papers 2208.12518, arXiv.org.
    28. Pacati, Claudio & Pompa, Gabriele & Renò, Roberto, 2018. "Smiling twice: The Heston++ model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 185-206.
    29. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    30. Qinwen Zhu & Gregoire Loeper & Wen Chen & Nicolas Langrené, 2021. "Markovian approximation of the rough Bergomi model for Monte Carlo option pricing," Post-Print hal-02910724, HAL.
    31. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2016. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," Papers 1610.00332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    32. Eric Renault & Nizar Touzi, 1996. "Option Hedging And Implied Volatilities In A Stochastic Volatility Model1," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(3), pages 279-302, July.
    33. Christian Bayer & Peter Friz & Jim Gatheral, 2016. "Pricing under rough volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 887-904, June.
    34. Pagès Gilles & Printems Jacques, 2005. "Functional quantization for numerics with an application to option pricing," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 407-446, December.
    35. Jan Baldeaux & Alexander Badran, 2012. "Consistent Modeling of VIX and Equity Derivatives Using a 3/2 Plus Jumps Model," Research Paper Series 306, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    36. Ryan McCrickerd & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Turbocharging Monte Carlo pricing for the rough Bergomi model," Papers 1708.02563, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    37. Pagès Gilles & Printems Jacques, 2003. "Optimal quadratic quantization for numerics: the Gaussian case," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 9(2), pages 135-165, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ioannis Gasteratos & Antoine Jacquier, 2023. "Transportation-cost inequalities for non-linear Gaussian functionals," Papers 2310.05750, arXiv.org.
    2. Ofelia Bonesini & Giorgia Callegaro & Martino Grasselli & Gilles Pag`es, 2023. "From elephant to goldfish (and back): memory in stochastic Volterra processes," Papers 2306.02708, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    3. Antoine Jacquier & Zan Zuric, 2023. "Random neural networks for rough volatility," Papers 2305.01035, arXiv.org.
    4. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-03909334 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Guido Gazzani & Julien Guyon, 2024. "Pricing and calibration in the 4-factor path-dependent volatility model," Papers 2406.02319, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Papers 2212.08297, arXiv.org.
    2. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Papers 2212.10917, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    3. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Nathan De Carvalho, 2023. "Reconciling rough volatility with jumps," Papers 2303.07222, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    4. Antoine Jacquier & Aitor Muguruza & Alexandre Pannier, 2021. "Rough multifactor volatility for SPX and VIX options," Papers 2112.14310, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    5. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-03909334 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jim Gatheral & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem," Papers 2001.01789, arXiv.org.
    7. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2023. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Post-Print hal-03909334, HAL.
    8. Julien Guyon, 2020. "Inversion of convex ordering in the VIX market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(10), pages 1597-1623, October.
    9. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Papers 2210.12393, arXiv.org.
    10. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Working Papers hal-03827332, HAL.
    11. Giulia Di Nunno & Kk{e}stutis Kubilius & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2023. "From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling," Papers 2309.01033, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    12. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Zúñiga, 2021. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Working Papers hal-03178306, HAL.
    13. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Zúñiga, 2022. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Post-Print hal-03178306, HAL.
    14. Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2021. "Deep calibration of the quadratic rough Heston model," Papers 2107.01611, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    15. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Z'u~niga, 2021. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Papers 2103.11734, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    16. Ivan Guo & Gregoire Loeper & Jan Obloj & Shiyi Wang, 2020. "Joint Modelling and Calibration of SPX and VIX by Optimal Transport," Papers 2004.02198, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    17. Siow Woon Jeng & Adem Kilicman, 2020. "Series Expansion and Fourth-Order Global Padé Approximation for a Rough Heston Solution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-26, November.
    18. Giulia Di Nunno & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2022. "Sandwiched Volterra Volatility model: Markovian approximations and hedging," Papers 2209.13054, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    19. Florian Bourgey & Stefano De Marco & Peter K. Friz & Paolo Pigato, 2023. "Local volatility under rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(4), pages 1119-1145, October.
    20. Siow Woon Jeng & Adem Kiliçman, 2021. "On Multilevel and Control Variate Monte Carlo Methods for Option Pricing under the Rough Heston Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-32, November.
    21. Lech A. Grzelak, 2022. "On Randomization of Affine Diffusion Processes with Application to Pricing of Options on VIX and S&P 500," Papers 2208.12518, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    SPX and VIX modeling; Stochastic volatility; Gaussian Volterra processes; Quantization; Neural Networks;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03902513. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.