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An integrated causal framework to evaluate uplift value with an example on change in public transport supply

Author

Listed:
  • Jean Dubé

    (ULaval - Université Laval [Québec])

  • Julie Le Gallo

    (CESAER - Centre d'économie et de sociologie rurales appliquées à l'agriculture et aux espaces ruraux - UBFC - Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Dijon - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)

  • François Des Rosiers

    (ULaval - Université Laval [Québec])

  • Diègo Legros

    (LEDi - Laboratoire d'Economie de Dijon [Dijon] - UB - Université de Bourgogne - UBFC - Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE])

  • Marie-Pier Champagne

    (ULaval - Université Laval [Québec])

Abstract

Many empirical applications aim to isolate the impact of implementing new public transport on real estate uplift value. While their conclusions generally point to positive impact, due to reduction in transportation cost, the methodological framework to investigate uplift value has largely evolved over time. This paper reviews the different methodological challenges in measuring causal uplift value and proposes an adjusted parametric approach inspired from the Alonso-Muth-Mills model, returning a complex 2-D price premium function allowing for spatial heterogeneous patterns of the average treatment effect. The proposed framework also accounts for other methodological challenges underlined by literature such as spatial autocorrelation, selectivity and representativity issues, and possible anticipation effects. To illustrate the importance of methodological choices on estimation results, the framework is applied to the case of the implementation of a bus rapid transit (BRT) system in Québec City, a medium-size Canadian city, as a specific case study.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean Dubé & Julie Le Gallo & François Des Rosiers & Diègo Legros & Marie-Pier Champagne, 2024. "An integrated causal framework to evaluate uplift value with an example on change in public transport supply," Post-Print hal-04733196, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04733196
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103500
    as

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