IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/transp/v49y2022i6d10.1007_s11116-021-10233-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluating the spatial and temporal distribution of beltway effects on housing prices using difference-in-differences methods

Author

Listed:
  • John Murray

    (Texas A&M Transportation Institute)

  • Eleni Bardaka

    (North Carolina State University)

Abstract

This study investigates the temporal and spatial distribution of the causal impacts of major beltway facilities on housing prices using quasi-experimental econometric approaches. Difference-in-differences methods are employed to quantify construction and anticipation effects and explore how impacts evolve and differ over space and time. The study particularly focuses on spatial variations and seeks to identify potentially heterogeneous effects in the inner and outer sides of a beltway. Two methods for control group selection are adopted to test the robustness of the estimated treatment effects. Using data from three major beltway facilities in the US, we find that impacts are nonlinear with distance from an interchange, with the maximum effect found between a 0.75 and 1.5-mile distance. In two of the studied beltway projects, properties outside the beltway experienced significant positive effects, while effects on properties inside the beltway were negative within the first 0.25 miles from an interchange and insignificant thereafter. We also find that effects during construction differ by project, while after the end of construction, prices typically increase and fully materialize after 6–8 years. This research makes a significant contribution to the very limited literature on the causal identification of highway impacts on surrounding properties as well as the small group of studies that have investigated the spatial extent and distribution of transportation-induced effects. The results can be used to inform stakeholders and planning decisions of future highway facilities.

Suggested Citation

  • John Murray & Eleni Bardaka, 2022. "Evaluating the spatial and temporal distribution of beltway effects on housing prices using difference-in-differences methods," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(6), pages 1963-1998, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:49:y:2022:i:6:d:10.1007_s11116-021-10233-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-021-10233-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11116-021-10233-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11116-021-10233-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yen, Barbara T.H. & Mulley, Corinne & Shearer, Heather & Burke, Matthew, 2018. "Announcement, construction or delivery: When does value uplift occur for residential properties? Evidence from the Gold Coast Light Rail system in Australia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 412-422.
    2. Card, David & Krueger, Alan B, 1994. "Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 772-793, September.
    3. David Card, 1990. "The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 43(2), pages 245-257, January.
    4. Aaron Swoboda & Tsegaye Nega & Maxwell Timm, 2015. "Hedonic Analysis Over Time And Space: The Case Of House Prices And Traffic Noise," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 644-670, September.
    5. Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens, 2017. "The State of Applied Econometrics: Causality and Policy Evaluation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 3-32, Spring.
    6. Robert Armstrong & Daniel Rodríguez, 2006. "An Evaluation of the Accessibility Benefits of Commuter Rail in Eastern Massachusetts using Spatial Hedonic Price Functions," Transportation, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 21-43, January.
    7. Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2015. "Difference-in-differences techniques for spatial data: Local autocorrelation and spatial interaction," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 123-126.
    8. Vincenzo Del Giudice & Pierfrancesco De Paola & Benedetto Manganelli & Fabiana Forte, 2017. "The Monetary Valuation of Environmental Externalities through the Analysis of Real Estate Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-16, February.
    9. Shengxiao Li & Luoye Chen & Pengjun Zhao, 2019. "The impact of metro services on housing prices: a case study from Beijing," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1291-1317, August.
    10. Bae, Chang-Hee Christine & Jun, Myung-Jin & Park, Hyeon, 2003. "The impact of Seoul's subway Line 5 on residential property values," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 85-94, April.
    11. Ashenfelter, Orley C, 1978. "Estimating the Effect of Training Programs on Earnings," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(1), pages 47-57, February.
    12. Besley, Timothy & Case, Anne, 2000. "Unnatural Experiments? Estimating the Incidence of Endogenous Policies," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(467), pages 672-694, November.
    13. Dubé, Jean & Andrianary, Eugénie & Assad-Déry, François & Poupart, Janie & Simard, Justine, 2018. "Exploring difference in value uplift resulting from new bus rapid transit routes within a medium size metropolitan area," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 258-269.
    14. Rosen, Sherwin, 1974. "Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(1), pages 34-55, Jan.-Feb..
    15. Ghebreegziabiher Debrezion & Eric Pels & Piet Rietveld, 2007. "The Impact of Railway Stations on Residential and Commercial Property Value: A Meta-analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 161-180, August.
    16. Wagner, Gary A. & Komarek, Timothy & Martin, Julia, 2017. "Is the light rail “Tide” lifting property values? Evidence from Hampton Roads, VA," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 25-37.
    17. Devaux, Nicolas & Dubé, Jean & Apparicio, Philippe, 2017. "Anticipation and post-construction impact of a metro extension on residential values: The case of Laval (Canada), 1995–2013," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 8-19.
    18. Ossokina, Ioulia V. & Verweij, Gerard, 2015. "Urban traffic externalities: Quasi-experimental evidence from housing prices," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-13.
    19. Bardaka, Eleni & Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2019. "A spatial multiple treatment/multiple outcome difference-in-differences model with an application to urban rail infrastructure and gentrification," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 325-345.
    20. Dubé, Jean & Legros, Diègo & Thériault, Marius & Des Rosiers, François, 2014. "A spatial Difference-in-Differences estimator to evaluate the effect of change in public mass transit systems on house prices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 24-40.
    21. Gibbons, Stephen & Machin, Stephen, 2005. "Valuing rail access using transport innovations," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 148-169, January.
    22. Mohammad, Sara I. & Graham, Daniel J. & Melo, Patricia C. & Anderson, Richard J., 2013. "A meta-analysis of the impact of rail projects on land and property values," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 158-170.
    23. Bardaka, Eleni & Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2018. "Causal identification of transit-induced gentrification and spatial spillover effects: The case of the Denver light rail," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 15-31.
    24. Mats Wilhelmsson, 2000. "The Impact of Traffic Noise on the Values of Single-family Houses," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(6), pages 799-815.
    25. Or Levkovich & Jan Rouwendal & Ramona Marwijk, 2016. "The effects of highway development on housing prices," Transportation, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 379-405, March.
    26. Dubé, Jean & Thériault, Marius & Des Rosiers, François, 2013. "Commuter rail accessibility and house values: The case of the Montreal South Shore, Canada, 1992–2009," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 49-66.
    27. Halvorsen, Robert & Palmquist, Raymond, 1980. "The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 474-475, June.
    28. Pilgram, Clemens A. & West, Sarah E., 2018. "Fading premiums: The effect of light rail on residential property values in Minneapolis, Minnesota," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-10.
    29. Diao, Mi & Leonard, Delon & Sing, Tien Foo, 2017. "Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 64-77.
    30. Seo, Kihwan & Golub, Aaron & Kuby, Michael, 2014. "Combined impacts of highways and light rail transit on residential property values: a spatial hedonic price model for Phoenix, Arizona," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 53-62.
    31. Jon Strand & Mette Vågnes, 2001. "The relationship between property values and railroad proximity: a study based on hedonic prices and real estate brokers' appraisals," Transportation, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 137-156, May.
    32. Sun, Weizeng & Zheng, Siqi & Wang, Rui, 2015. "The capitalization of subway access in home value: A repeat-rentals model with supply constraints in Beijing," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 104-115.
    33. Claudio A. Agostini & Gastón A. Palmucci, 2008. "The Anticipated Capitalisation Effect of a New Metro Line on Housing Prices," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 29(2), pages 233-256, June.
    34. Kihwan Seo & Deborah Salon & Michael Kuby & Aaron Golub, 2019. "Hedonic modeling of commercial property values: distance decay from the links and nodes of rail and highway infrastructure," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 859-882, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jean Dubé & Julie Le Gallo & François Des Rosiers & Diègo Legros & Marie-Pier Champagne, 2024. "An integrated causal framework to evaluate uplift value with an example on change in public transport supply," Post-Print hal-04733196, HAL.
    2. Dubé, Jean & Le Gallo, Julie & Des Rosiers, François & Legros, Diègo & Champagne, Marie-Pier, 2024. "An integrated causal framework to evaluate uplift value with an example on change in public transport supply," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Schmidt, Adam & Bardaka, Eleni & Thill, Jean-Claude, 2022. "Causal, spatiotemporal impacts of transit investments: Exploring spatial heterogeneity from announcement through long-run operation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 151-169.
    2. Bardaka, Eleni & Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2019. "A spatial multiple treatment/multiple outcome difference-in-differences model with an application to urban rail infrastructure and gentrification," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 325-345.
    3. Bardaka, Eleni & Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2018. "Causal identification of transit-induced gentrification and spatial spillover effects: The case of the Denver light rail," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 15-31.
    4. Lee, Jae Kwang, 2022. "New rail transit projects and land values: The difference in the impact of rail transit investment on different land types, values and locations," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    5. Zhang, Min, 2023. "Value uplift from transit investment-Property value or land value? A case study of the Gold Coast light rail system in Australia," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 88-98.
    6. Dubé, Jean & Andrianary, Eugénie & Assad-Déry, François & Poupart, Janie & Simard, Justine, 2018. "Exploring difference in value uplift resulting from new bus rapid transit routes within a medium size metropolitan area," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 258-269.
    7. Sebastian Brandt & Wolfgang Maennig, 2012. "The impact of rail access on condominium prices in Hamburg," Transportation, Springer, vol. 39(5), pages 997-1017, September.
    8. Jean Dubé & Julie Le Gallo & François Des Rosiers & Diègo Legros & Marie-Pier Champagne, 2024. "An integrated causal framework to evaluate uplift value with an example on change in public transport supply," Post-Print hal-04733196, HAL.
    9. Dubé, Jean & Le Gallo, Julie & Des Rosiers, François & Legros, Diègo & Champagne, Marie-Pier, 2024. "An integrated causal framework to evaluate uplift value with an example on change in public transport supply," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    10. Tian, Chuanhao & Peng, Ying & Wen, Haizhen & Yue, Wenze & Fang, Li, 2021. "Subway boosts housing values, for whom: A quasi-experimental analysis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    11. Filippova, Olga & Sheng, Mingyue, 2020. "Impact of bus rapid transit on residential property prices in Auckland, New Zealand," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    12. Diao, Mi & Leonard, Delon & Sing, Tien Foo, 2017. "Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 64-77.
    13. Helen XH Bao & Johan P Larsson & Vivien Wong, 2021. "Light at the end of the tunnel:The impacts of expected major transport improvements on residential property prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(14), pages 2971-2990, November.
    14. Devaux, Nicolas & Dubé, Jean & Apparicio, Philippe, 2017. "Anticipation and post-construction impact of a metro extension on residential values: The case of Laval (Canada), 1995–2013," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 8-19.
    15. Sangwan Lee, 2022. "An In-Depth Understanding of the Residential Property Value Premium of a Bikesharing Service in Portland, Oregon," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-16, August.
    16. Melser, Daniel, 2020. "Estimating the housing capitalization effects of new infrastructure: Should we be using rents instead of prices?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 402-421.
    17. Rémy Le Boennec & Julie Bulteau & Thierry Feuillet, 2022. "The role of commuter rail accessibility in the formation of residential land values: exploring spatial heterogeneity in peri-urban and remote areas," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(1), pages 163-186, August.
    18. Chun-Chang Lee & Chi-Ming Liang & Hui-Chuan Hong, 2020. "The Impact of a Mass Rapid Transit System on Neighborhood Housing Prices: An Application of Difference-In-Difference and Spatial Econometrics," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(1), pages 28-40, March.
    19. Jian Liang & Kang Mo Koo & Chyi Lin Lee, 2021. "Transportation infrastructure improvement and real estate value: impact of level crossing removal project on housing prices," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 2969-3011, December.
    20. Welch, Timothy F. & Gehrke, Steven R. & Wang, Fangru, 2016. "Long-term impact of network access to bike facilities and public transit stations on housing sales prices in Portland, Oregon," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 264-272.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:49:y:2022:i:6:d:10.1007_s11116-021-10233-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.