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The fiscal multiplier when debt is denominated in foreign currency

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  • Marie-Pierre Hory

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

  • Grégory Levieuge

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

  • Daria Onori

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

Abstract

In this paper, we show that the proportion of private debt denominated in foreign currency can be a determinant of the size of the domestic fiscal multiplier. The demonstration relies on a two-country New Keynesian DSGE model with nominal rigidities and financial frictions. In line with recent evidence, the model can reproduce the depreciation of the domestic currency following an increase in public spending. We show that, in this case, the increase in debt burden denominated in foreign currency deteriorates the domestic firms’ balance sheets. This raises their external finance premium and crowds out private investment, ultimately offsetting the stimulative effect of the government spending shock.
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Suggested Citation

  • Marie-Pierre Hory & Grégory Levieuge & Daria Onori, 2023. "The fiscal multiplier when debt is denominated in foreign currency," Post-Print hal-04355530, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04355530
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2023.100458
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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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