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Mögliche Engpässe für die Energiewende

Author

Listed:
  • Dr. Christian Lutz

    (GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research)

  • Lisa Becker

    (GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research)

  • Dr. Ulrike Lehr

    (GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research)

Abstract

Mit der Energiewende (EW) verfolgt Deutschland den langfristigen Umbau des Energiesystems. Der Ausbau erneuerbarer Energien und die Steigerung der Energieeffizienz sind die dabei verfolgten Kernziele. Die Energiewende wirkt gesamtwirtschaftlich positiv (Lutz et al. 2018). Allerdings stellt sich vor dem Hintergrund der sehr robusten gesamt-wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in den letzten Jahren zunehmend die Frage, ob Engpässe und Restriktionen den Erfolg der Energiewende derzeit oder zukünftig teilweise konterkarieren können. Investitionen in die Energiewende sind wichtig, um die Ziele der Energiewende zu erreichen. Im Folgenden wird auf Basis einer Literaturrecherche für Deutschland untersucht, welche gesamtwirtschaftlichen und sozioökonomischen Zusammenhänge hierbei zu beachten sind. Neben den Engpässen bei der Produktion von Energiewendegütern gibt es auch Restriktionen, die in der Energiewende selbst und dem dazu notwendigen Transformationsprozess begründet sind. Dies sind zum einen Pfadabhängigkeiten der Infrastrukturen und Energiewendegüter, die dazu führen, dass bisherige Technologien lange im Einsatz sind und Investitionen in EW-Güter gebremst werden. Zum anderen handelt es sich um Verhaltensweisen, die die Wirksamkeit der Energiewende begrenzen, wie etwa der Rebound-Effekt, durch den der Energieverbrauch weniger stark zurückgeht als gedacht. Ziel dieses Teils des Beitrags ist es vor allem, zu zeigen, dass die Energiewende nicht im luftleeren Raum, sondern vor dem Hintergrund allgemeiner wirtschaftlicher Engpässe und Wachstumschancen stattfindet. Dazu werden nach einer Definition mögliche Engpässe bei der Produktion der EW-Güter aufgezeigt (Abschnitt 2). Anschließend werden in Abschnitt 3 übergreifende Restriktionen für die Energiewende dargestellt. Der Beitrag schließt mit einem Fazit und einem Ausblick auf die Bereiche, in denen eine tiefergehende Analyse und verstärkte Berücksichtigung bei der Gestaltung der Energiewende wünschenswert wären.

Suggested Citation

  • Dr. Christian Lutz & Lisa Becker & Dr. Ulrike Lehr, 2018. "Mögliche Engpässe für die Energiewende," GWS Research Report Series 18-8, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:gws:report:18-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:04:p:68-68 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Dr. Christian Lutz & Dr. Markus Flaute & Dr. Ulrike Lehr & Dr. Andreas Kemmler & Dr. Almut Kirchner & Alex auf der Maur & Inka Ziegenhagen & Marco Wünsch & Sylvie Koziel & Dr. Alexander Piégsa & Samue, 2018. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Effekte der Energiewende," GWS Research Report Series 18-4, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research.
    3. Dütschke, Elisabeth & Frondel, Manuel & Schleich, Joachim & Vance, Colin, 2018. "Moral licensing: Another source of rebound?," Ruhr Economic Papers 747, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    4. Pfeiffer, Alexander & Hepburn, Cameron & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Caldecott, Ben, 2018. "Committed Emissions from Existing and Planned Power Plants and Asset Stranding Required to Meet the Paris Agreement," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8886, Inter-American Development Bank.
    5. Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2018. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitäten zunehmend überausgelastet," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(04), pages 1-68, February.
    6. Dr. Christian Lutz & Dr. Barbara Breitschopf, 2016. "Systematisierung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Effekte und Verteilungswirkungen der Energiewende," GWS Research Report Series 16-1, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research.
    7. Santarius, Tilman, 2012. "Der Rebound-Effekt: Über die unerwünschten Folgen der erwünschten Energieeffizienz," Zukunftsimpulse 5, Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energiewende; Engpässe;

    JEL classification:

    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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