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Grain Price Fluctuations and Witch Hunting in Bavaria

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  • Jörg Baten
  • Ulrich Woitek

Abstract

Based on the data set of Behringer (1997), we develop and test competing models of the determinants of witch hunting in Bavaria in the period 1345-1750, which explain the cyclicity as well as the variation over time from the 14th to the 18th century. Our main focus is on economic factors and their influence on the intensity of prosecution. We analyse this issue by quantifying the importance of grain price fluctuations for the frequency of witch trials/accusations, taking into account other possible explanations like the impact of confession and regional characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Jörg Baten & Ulrich Woitek, 2001. "Grain Price Fluctuations and Witch Hunting in Bavaria," Working Papers 2001_9, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  • Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:2001_9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bauernfeind, Walter & Woitek, Ulrich, 1996. "Agrarian Cycles in Germany 1339-1670: A Spectral Analysis of Grain Prices and Output in Nuremberg," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 459-478, October.
    2. Cameron, A. Colin & Trivedi, Pravin K., 1990. "Regression-based tests for overdispersion in the Poisson model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 347-364, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Hudson, 2016. "Witch Trials: Discontent in Early Modern Europe," IHEID Working Papers 11-2016, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

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