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Intercommodity price transmission and food price policies: An analysis of Ethiopian cereal markets

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  • Rashid, Shahidur

Abstract

Cereal price variability in Ethiopia has worsened in recent years, and some of the earlier liberalizations are being reversed due to the unacceptable economic and political costs of increased price variability. The challenge now is to achieve price stability in a cost-effective way. This paper examines intercommodity price relationships to assess the relative importance of each of the three major cereals in generating price volatility. Based on the estimates from a dynamic econometric model, the paper concludes that maize is the most significant in exacerbating price variability with respect to the persistence of shocks to itself and the two other cereals. This implies that focusing on maize, instead of wheat, will not only help better stabilize prices but also reduce costs of stabilization. The results are also discussed in the context of ongoing policy discussions.

Suggested Citation

  • Rashid, Shahidur, 2011. "Intercommodity price transmission and food price policies: An analysis of Ethiopian cereal markets," ESSP working papers 22, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:esspwp:22
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    Cited by:

    1. Degye Goshu, 2016. "The Dynamics of Food Price Convergence in Ethiopia," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 24(1), April.
    2. Carolin Kouyaté & Stephan Cramon-Taubadel, 2016. "Distance and Border Effects on Price Transmission: A Meta-analysis," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(2), pages 255-271, June.
    3. Yami, Mesay & Meyer, Ferdi & Hassan, Rashid, 2016. "Testing price leadership role in major regional maize markets in Ethiopia," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 249439, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    4. Kenneth Baltzer, 2013. "International to Domestic Price Transmission in Fourteen Developing Countries During the 2007-08 Food Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-031, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Badiane, Ousmane & Goudan, Anatole & Tankari, Mahamadou Roufahi, 2013. "Time Path of Price Adjustment in Domestic Markets of Non-tradable Staples to Changes in World Market Prices," MPRA Paper 53485, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Karikallio, Hanna, 2015. "Cross-commodity Price Transmission and Integration of the EU Livestock Market of Pork and Beef: Panel Time-series Approach," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211832, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Mesay Yami & Ferdi Meyer & Rashid Hassan, 2020. "The impact of production shocks on maize markets in Ethiopia: implications for regional trade and food security," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, December.
    8. Muhammed A. Usman & Mekbib G. Haile, 2017. "Producer to retailer price transmission in cereal markets of Ethiopia," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(4), pages 815-829, August.
    9. Minten, Bart & Tamru, Seneshaw & Legesse, Ermias Engida & Kuma, Tadesse, 2018. "Dynamics in teff value chains," IFPRI book chapters, in: The economics of teff: Exploring Ethiopia’s biggest cash crop, chapter 13, pages 327-352, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    10. Bart Minten & David Stifel & Seneshaw Tamru, 2014. "Structural Transformation of Cereal Markets in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(5), pages 611-629, May.
    11. Baltzer, Kenneth, 2013. "International to Domestic Price Transmission in Fourteen Developing Countries During the 2007-08 Food Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series 031, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    12. Minten, Bart & Tamru, Seneshaw & Engida, Ermias & Kuma, Tadesse, 2013. "Ethiopia’s value chains on the move: The case of teff:," ESSP working papers 52, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

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