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The role of proximity in foreclosure externalities: evidence from condominiums

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We explore several different explanations of the effect of foreclosures on neighboring properties using a dataset of transactions in Boston, for which we have rich data on the size and location of condominium associations. There is compelling evidence against a supply effect?nearby condo foreclosures in different associations, and even those within the same association but at different physical addresses, have little impact on condo sale prices. However, condos transact at average discounts of 2.4 percent when a foreclosure shares the same physical address. We view the results as indicating that investment externalities drive foreclosures? impacts on neighboring house prices.

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  • Lynn Fisher & Lauren Lambie-Hanson & Paul S. Willen, 2013. "The role of proximity in foreclosure externalities: evidence from condominiums," Public Policy Discussion Paper 13-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbpp:13-2
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    1. Genesove, David & Mayer, Christopher J, 1997. "Equity and Time to Sale in the Real Estate Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(3), pages 255-269, June.
    2. Kristopher Gerardi & Eric Rosenblatt & Paul S. Willen & Vincent W. Yao, 2012. "Foreclosure externalities: some new evidence," Public Policy Discussion Paper 12-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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    5. Hartley, Daniel, 2014. "The effect of foreclosures on nearby housing prices: Supply or dis-amenity?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 108-117.
    6. Foote, Christopher L. & Gerardi, Kristopher & Willen, Paul S., 2008. "Negative equity and foreclosure: Theory and evidence," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 234-245, September.
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    1. Tammy Leonard & Nikhil Jha & Lei Zhang, 2017. "Neighborhood price externalities of foreclosure rehabilitation: an examination of the Neighborhood Stabilization Program," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 955-975, May.
    2. Geoffrey K. Turnbull & Arno J. van der Vlist, 2023. "After the Boom: Transitory and Legacy Effects of Foreclosures," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 422-442, February.
    3. Lingxiao Li & Erdem Ucar & Abdullah Yavas, 2022. "Social Capital and Mortgage Delinquency," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 379-403, April.
    4. Peter Chinloy & William Hardin & Zhonghua Wu, 2017. "Foreclosure, REO, and Market Sales in Residential Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 188-215, February.
    5. Biswas, Arnab & Cunningham, Chris & Gerardi, Kristopher & Sexton, Daniel, 2021. "Foreclosure externalities and Vacant Property Registration Ordinances," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    6. Rohan Ganduri & Steven Chong Xiao & Serena Wenjing Xiao, 2023. "Tracing the source of liquidity for distressed housing markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 408-440, March.
    7. Alm, James & Hawley, Zackary & Lee, Jin Man & Miller, Joshua J., 2016. "Property tax delinquency and its spillover effects on nearby properties," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 71-77.
    8. Michele Loberto, 2023. "Foreclosures and House Prices," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 9(1), pages 397-424, March.
    9. Anthony Yezer & Yishen Liu, 2017. "Can Differences Deceive? The Case of “Foreclosure Externalities"," Working Papers 2017-29, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    10. Koster, Hans R.A. & van Ommeren, Jos & Volkhausen, Nicolas, 2021. "Short-term rentals and the housing market: Quasi-experimental evidence from Airbnb in Los Angeles," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    11. Simlai, Prodosh, 2019. "Subprime credit, idiosyncratic risk, and foreclosures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 175-189.
    12. Yishen Liu & Anthony M. Yezer, 2021. "Foreclosure Externalities: Have We Confused the Cure with the Disease?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(S2), pages 428-460, September.
    13. Alm, James & Leguizamon, J. Sebastian, 2018. "The housing crisis, foreclosures, and local tax revenues," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 300-311.
    14. Stuart Gabriel & Matteo Iacoviello & Chandler Lutz, 2021. "A Crisis of Missed Opportunities? Foreclosure Costs and Mortgage Modification During the Great Recession [Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: Estimating the effect of California," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(2), pages 864-906.
    15. Blanco, Hector, 2023. "Pecuniary effects of public housing demolitions: Evidence from Chicago," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    16. Remco Mocking & Bastiaan Overvest, 2015. "Estimating the Impact of Forced Sales on House Prices," CPB Discussion Paper 304.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    17. Agarwal, Sumit & Zhang, Yunqi, 2018. "Effects of government bailouts on mortgage modification," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 54-70.
    18. Bak, Xian F. & Hewings, Geoffrey J.D., 2017. "Measuring foreclosure impact mitigation: Evidence from the Neighborhood Stabilization Program in Chicago," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 38-56.
    19. Anthony Yezer, 2016. "Testing the Association between Foreclosure and Nearby House Values: Can Differences Deceive?," Working Papers 2016-29, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    20. Glaeser, Edward L. & Nathanson, Charles G., 2015. "Housing Bubbles," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 701-751, Elsevier.
    21. Remco Mocking & Bastiaan Overvest, 2015. "Estimating the Impact of Forced Sales on House Prices," CPB Discussion Paper 304, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreclosure - Massachusetts; Real property - Massachusetts; Housing - Prices - Massachusetts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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