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Dynamics of indirect land-use change: empirical evidence from Brazil

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  • Palmer, Charles
  • Di Falco, Salvatore

Abstract

The expansion of a given land use may affect deforestation directly if forests are cleared to free land for this use, or indirectly, via the displacement of other land-use activities from non-forest areas towards the forest frontier. Unlike direct land conversion, indirect land-use changes affecting deforestation are not immediately observable. They require the linking of changes occurring in different regions. This paper empirically estimates these indirect effects for the case of Brazil. It presents evidence of a positive relationship between sugarcane expansion in the south of the country and cattle ranching in the Amazon, suggesting that the former is indeed displacing the latter towards the forest frontier. This displacement effect is shown to be a dynamic process, materialising over ten to 15 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Palmer, Charles & Di Falco, Salvatore, 2012. "Dynamics of indirect land-use change: empirical evidence from Brazil," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 44835, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:44835
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/44835/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    indirect land-use changes; dynamic effects; biofuels; deforestation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General

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