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Uncertainty about Uncertainty and Delay in Bargaining

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  • Feinberg, Yossi

    (Stanford U)

  • Skyzypacz, Andrzej

Abstract

We study a one-sided offers bargaining game in which the buyer has private information about the value of the object and the seller has private infromation about his beliefs about the buyer. We show that this uncertainty about uncertainties dramatically changes the set of possible outcomes when compared to two-sided private information. In particular, higher order beliefs can lead to a dalay in reaching agreement even when the seller makes frequent offers, while in the case of two-sided first order private information, agreement is reached almost instantly. Furthermore, we show that not all types of higher order beliefs lead to a delay: the crucial condition is that when uncertain about uncertainties, one assigns positive probability to certainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Feinberg, Yossi & Skyzypacz, Andrzej, 2002. "Uncertainty about Uncertainty and Delay in Bargaining," Research Papers 1765, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecl:stabus:1765
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Ausubel, Lawrence M. & Cramton, Peter & Deneckere, Raymond J., 2002. "Bargaining with incomplete information," Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications, in: R.J. Aumann & S. Hart (ed.), Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 50, pages 1897-1945, Elsevier.
    7. Robert Evans, 1989. "Sequential Bargaining with Correlated Values," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 56(4), pages 499-510.
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    12. Drew Fudenberg & David K. Levine & Jean Tirole, 1985. "Infinite-Horizon Models of Bargaining with One-Sided Incomplete Information," Levine's Working Paper Archive 1098, David K. Levine.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hanming Fang & Stephen Morris, 2012. "Multidimensional Private Value Auctions," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Robust Mechanism Design The Role of Private Information and Higher Order Beliefs, chapter 9, pages 319-356, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Weinstein, Jonathan & Yildiz, Muhamet, 2007. "Impact of higher-order uncertainty," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 200-212, July.
    3. Jonathan Weinstein & Muhamet Yildiz, 2004. "Finite-Order Implications of Any Equilibrium," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000000065, David K. Levine.

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