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The "V-Factor": Distribution, Timing and Correlates of the Great Indian Growth Turnaround

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  • Chetan Ghate
  • Stephen Wright

Abstract

The ratio of Indian to US per capita output over the past 45 years has displayed a distinctive "V"-shaped pattern. We show that a strikingly similar V-shaped pattern is visible not just in aggregate output .figures, but also as the primary determinant of long-term movements in the cross-sectional distribution within the All-India total, at both sectoral and state output levels. We also carry out preliminary investigations of correlates of the "V-Factor", using a new panel data set for Indian states from 1960 to 2005 that extends and encompasses all previous datasets relevant to macroeconomic analysis of the Indian states.

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  • Chetan Ghate & Stephen Wright, 2008. "The "V-Factor": Distribution, Timing and Correlates of the Great Indian Growth Turnaround," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 783, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp783
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    Cited by:

    1. Amparo Castello-Climent & Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay, 2010. "Mass education or a minority well educated elite in the process of development: The case of India," Discussion Papers 10-08, Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi.
    2. Bahal, Girish & Raissi, Mehdi & Tulin, Volodymyr, 2018. "Crowding-out or crowding-in? Public and private investment in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 323-333.
    3. Ghosh, Taniya & Parab, Prashant Mehul, 2021. "Assessing India’s productivity trends and endogenous growth: New evidence from technology, human capital and foreign direct investment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 182-195.
    4. Alexei Onatski & Chen Wang, 2021. "Spurious Factor Analysis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 591-614, March.
    5. Chanda, Areendam & Kabiraj, Sujana, 2020. "Shedding light on regional growth and convergence in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Naresh Kumar & Ritu Rani, 2020. "Extent of Social Change in Family Quality of Life Index: Empirical Evidence from Selected States of India," South Asian Survey, , vol. 27(1), pages 62-80, March.
    7. Castelló-Climent, Amparo & Mukhopadhyay, Abhiroop, 2013. "Mass education or a minority well educated elite in the process of growth: The case of India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 303-320.
    8. Cortuk, O & Singh, N, 2015. "Analysing the structural change and growth relationship in India," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt4qx907p3, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    9. Sabyasachi Kar & Debajit Jha & Alpana Kateja, 2011. "Club‐convergence and polarization of states," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 53-72, April.
    10. Ghate, Chetan & Pandey, Radhika & Patnaik, Ila, 2013. "Has India emerged? Business cycle stylized facts from a transitioning economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 157-172.
    11. M.A. Oommen, 2014. "Growth, Inequality and Well-being," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 9(2), pages 173-205, August.
    12. Chetan Ghate & Stephen Wright, 2011. "Correlates of statewise participation in the great Indian growth turnaround: some preliminary robustness results," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1104, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    13. Kunal Sen & Sabyasachi Kar & Jagadish Prasad Sahu, 2014. "The political economy of economic growth in India, 1993-2013," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-044-14, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    14. Kan, Kamhon & Wang, Yong, 2013. "Comparing China and India: A factor accumulation perspective," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 879-894.
    15. Banerjee, Rajabrata & Roy, Saikat Sinha, 2014. "Human capital, technological progress and trade: What explains India's long run growth?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 15-31.
    16. Ghate, Chetan & Wright, Stephen, 2012. "The “V-factor”: Distribution, timing and correlates of the great Indian growth turnaround," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 58-67.
    17. Das, Samarjit & Ghate, Chetan & Robertson, Peter E., 2015. "Remoteness, Urbanization, and India’s Unbalanced Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 572-587.
    18. Kala Seetharam Sridhar & A. Venugopala Reddy, 2011. "Investment and Economic Opportunities: Urbanization, Infrastructure and Governance in The North and South of India," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 18(1), pages 1-46, June.
    19. Arnab Acharya, 2014. "The Unburdening of Lack of Evidence," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 9(1), pages 27-47, April.
    20. Arjun & Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra, 2024. "Testing the Balanced Growth Hypothesis in the Presence of Structural Breaks: Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2024(1), pages 1-35.
    21. Kevin S. Nell, 2013. "A Total Factor Productivity-Capital Accumulation Hypothesis of India’s Growth Transitions," CEF.UP Working Papers 1313, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    22. Rasika P. Chikte, 2011. "Income Convergence and Regional Growth in India," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 12(2), pages 239-269, September.
    23. Subaran Roy & Chitrakalpa Sen & Rohini Sanyal, 2019. "An Empirical Inquiry into Per Capita Convergence of Indian States," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 11(3), pages 232-247, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Principal components; divergence; Indian States;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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