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Welfare Effects of TTIP in a DSGE Model

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  • Philipp Engler
  • Juha Tervala

Abstract

Several studies have analyzed the trade and output effects of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the United States and the European Union, but our paper is the first attempt to study its welfare effects. We measure the welfare effect of TTIP as the percentage of initial consumption that households would be willing to pay for TTIP in order to remain as well off with TTIP as without it. The discounted present value of the welfare gain of TTIP, which leads to the elimination of tariffs and cuts in non-tariff measures by 25%, is in the range of 1% to 4% of initial consumption, depending on the parameterization. The welfare gain increases in the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods. The bulk of the welfare gain is caused by cuts in non-tariff measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Engler & Juha Tervala, 2016. "Welfare Effects of TTIP in a DSGE Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1625, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1625
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    Cited by:

    1. Bajzik, Jozef & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana & Schwarz, Jiri, 2019. "Estimating the Armington Elasticity: The Importance of Data Choice and Publication Bias," MPRA Paper 95031, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Milan Bednář, 2019. "Obchodně-politické překážky vývozu zboží z Evropské unie do USA: význam liberalizace obchodních toků [Trade Policy Barriers to Imports of EU Goods to the USA: Importance of Liberalization of Trade ," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 231-252.
    3. Bajzik, Josef & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana & Schwarz, Jiri, 2020. "Estimating the Armington elasticity: The importance of study design and publication bias," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    4. Josef Bajzik & Tomas Havranek & Zuzana Irsova & Jiri Schwarz, 2019. "The Elasticity of Substitution between Domestic and Foreign Goods: A Quantitative Survey," Working Papers 2019/12, Czech National Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tariffs; TTIP; trade agreement; trade liberalization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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