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Jobs and Matches: Quits, Replacement Hiring, and Vacancy Chains

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  • Schoefer, Benjamin
  • Mercan, Yusuf

Abstract

In the canonical DMP model of job openings, all job openings stem from new job creation. Jobs denote worker-firm matches, which are destroyed following worker quits. Yet, employers classify 56% of vacancy postings as quit-driven replacement hiring into old jobs, which evidently outlived their previous matches. Accordingly, aggregate and firm-level hiring tightly tracks quits. We augment the DMP model with longer-lived jobs arising from sunk job creation costs and replacement hiring. Quits trigger vacancies, which beget vacancies through replacement hiring. This vacancy chain can raise total job openings and net employment. The procyclicality of quits can thereby amplify business cycles.

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  • Schoefer, Benjamin & Mercan, Yusuf, 2019. "Jobs and Matches: Quits, Replacement Hiring, and Vacancy Chains," CEPR Discussion Papers 14208, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14208
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    Cited by:

    1. Bagger, Jesper & Fontaine, Francois & Galenianos, Manolis & Trapeznikova, Ija, 2022. "Vacancies, employment outcomes and firm growth: Evidence from Denmark," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Yusuf Mercan & Benjamin Schoefer & Petr Sedláček, 2024. "A Congestion Theory of Unemployment Fluctuations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(1), pages 238-285, January.
    3. Miroslav Gabrovski & Mario Rafael Silva, 2023. "Unemployment and Labor Productivity Co-movement: the Role of Firm Exit," Working Papers 202301, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    4. Snell, Andy & Stüber, Heiko & Thomas, Jonathan P., 2024. "Job security, asymmetric information, and wage rigidity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    5. Lochner, Benjamin & Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko & Gürtzgen, Nicole, 2021. "Recruiting intensity and hiring practices: Cross-sectional and time-series evidence," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Benjamin Küfner & Joseph W. Sakshaug & Stefan Zins, 2022. "Analysing establishment survey non‐response using administrative data and machine learning," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(S2), pages 310-342, December.
    7. Ryan Michaels & David Ratner & Michael Elsby, 2016. "Vacancy Chains," 2016 Meeting Papers 753, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Mario Bossler & Nicole Gürtzgen & Alexander Kubis & Benjamin Küfner & Benjamin Lochner, 2020. "The IAB Job Vacancy Survey: design and research potential," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 54(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Guo, Junjie, 2024. "Sequential job posting and equilibrium wage dispersion with bunching," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Acharya, Sushant & Wee, Shu Lin, 2020. "On-the-job Search and the Productivity-Wage Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14430, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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