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Purchasing Power Parity for Developing and Developed Countries. What can we Learn from Non-Stationary Panel Data Models?

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  • Imed Drine
  • Christophe Rault

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to apply recently developed panel cointegration techniques proposed by Pedroni (1999, 2004) and generalized by Banerjee and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2006) to examine the robustness of the PPP concept for a sample of 80 developed and developing countries. We find that strong PPP is verified for OECD countries and weak PPP for MENA countries. However in African, Asian, Latin American and Central and Eastern European countries, PPP does not seem relevant to characterize the long-run behavior of the real exchange rate. Further investigations indicate that the nature of the exchange rate regime doesn’t condition the validity of PPP which is more easily accepted in countries with high than low inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Imed Drine & Christophe Rault, 2008. "Purchasing Power Parity for Developing and Developed Countries. What can we Learn from Non-Stationary Panel Data Models?," CESifo Working Paper Series 2255, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_2255
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    Cited by:

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    2. Su, Chi-Wei & Tsangyao, Chang & Chang, Hsu-Ling, 2011. "Purchasing power parity for fifteen Latin American countries: Stationary test with a Fourier function," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 839-845, October.
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    5. Liu, Tie-Ying & Lin, Ye, 2024. "Who has mastered exchange rate ups and downs: China or the United States?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Thouraya Hadj Amor & Christophe Rault, 2011. "Sources of Real Exchange Rate Volatility and International Financial Integration: A Dynamic GMM Panel Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 3645, CESifo.
    7. Benedictow, Andreas & Hammersland, Roger, 2023. "Transition risk of a petroleum currency," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    8. Yutaka Kurihara, 2009. "Is Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis Reasonable from the View of Trade Blocks and Currency Zones?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 3-14.
    9. Sahbi Farhani & Sana Mrizak & Anissa Chaibi & Christophe Rault, 2014. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve and Sustainability: A Panel Data Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4787, CESifo.
    10. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Scott W. Hegerty, 2009. "Purchasing Power Parity In Less‐Developed And Transition Economies: A Review Paper," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(4), pages 617-658, September.
    11. Sofoklis Vogiazas & Constantinos Alexiou & Orafiri C. Ogan, 2019. "Drivers of the real effective exchange rates in high and upper‐middle income countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(1), pages 41-53, March.
    12. Georg Stadtmann & Christian Pierdzioch & Timo Schöber, 2020. "Law of one price: BigMac versus Fortnite - A Note," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3338-3348.
    13. He, Huizhen & Chou, Ming Che & Chang, Tsangyao, 2014. "Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries: Panel SURKSS test with a Fourier function," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 37-43.
    14. Georgios Loukopoulos & Dimitrios Antonopoulos, 2015. "Purchasing Power Parity: A Unit Root, Cointegration and VAR Analysis in Emerging and Advanced Countries," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 262-279, June.
    15. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-481 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Robertson, Raymond & Kumar, Anil & Dutkowsky, Donald H., 2014. "Weak-form and strong-form purchasing power parity between the US and Mexico: A panel cointegration investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 241-262.
    17. Takaaki Aoki, 2008. "One Proposition about Dynamic Portfolio Selection in an Open Economy and International Diversification," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(18), pages 1-8.
    18. Anwar Al-Gasaymeh & John Kasem, 2016. "Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity And Exchange Rates: Evidence From The Middle East," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 10(2), pages 41-53.
    19. Abla El Khawaga & Mona Esam & Rasha Hammam, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation of International Fisher Effect Theory The Case of Egypt (2003-2012)," Working Papers 869, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2014.
    20. Abdullah Noman, 2008. "Testing for PPP in the mean-group panel rgression framework: further evidence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(20), pages 1-12.
    21. Noman, Abdullah, 2008. "Purchasing Power Parity in South Asia: A Panel Data Approach," MPRA Paper 7824, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    purchasing power parity; real exchange rate; developed country; developing country; panel unit-root and cointegration tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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